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Booster Gold's Super Awesome Prediction Thread
Topic Started: Aug 22 2014, 07:06:34 PM (320 Views)
Booster Gold
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...and robot pal Skeets!
Okay.

So to start we have 2 tribes of 12 (but really 4 tribes of 6 at the moment) it seems like.

Corona:

DC Heroes:

Black Canary
Robin
Rorscharch
Starfire
Wonder Woman
Zatanna

Marvel Heroes:
Deadpool
Gambit
Moon Knight
Rocket Raccoon
Storm
Wolverine

Penumbra:

DC: Villains:
Black Manta
Queen Bee
Red Hood
Riddler
Two-Face
Zod

Marvel Villains:
Doctor Doom
Enchantress
Loki
Mysterio
Mystique
Ultron

In a bit I'm going to try to rank them in their respective tribes based on what's happened so far and I'll let you know who's going to win the entire thing :D You should believe me. I'm from the future.
 
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Booster Gold
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...and robot pal Skeets!
Cyttorak:
(Not sure if the three male villains will pick up gambit to get rid of Mystique or if all the villains will mend fences enough).

1. Zod

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It looks like Zod has all members of the tribe he could potentially work with (mostly all the villains). It doesn't matter which way the wind blows.

2. Two-Face

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Looking pretty good, I just don't think he's as connected as Zod is.

3. Queen Bee

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She's at least safe this TC, I don't see a great reason to take her out.

4. Gambit

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He might just get Pagonged, being the lone hero, but the fact is he has a lot of oppurtunity; either of the two people below him could probably be splintered off, or even the bottom four could go after one of the top two. There's a lot of unlikely scenarios but most of them don't end up with Gambit out the door...if he plays his cards right.

5. Loki

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Loki will need to make some new friends if he wants to survive here. New friends that toss cards at people, probably.

6. Mystique

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I guess she has a friend in QB, but that's her only capital on this tribe at the moment. That and I suppose she might be able to turn the target onto Loki. Or be friends with him again. I don't know yet, but her stock rises the longer she doesn't have to TC.
 
Gwen Stacy
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Booster Gold
Sep 1 2014, 11:47:25 PM
4. Gambit

Posted Image

He might just get Pagonged, being the lone hero, but the fact is he has a lot of oppurtunity; either of the two people below him could probably be splintered off, or even the bottom four could go after one of the top two. There's a lot of unlikely scenarios but most of them don't end up with Gambit out the door...if he plays his cards right.

5. Loki

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Loki will need to make some new friends if he wants to survive here. New friends that toss cards at people, probably.
I see what you did there.



:wub:
 
Booster Gold
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...and robot pal Skeets!
Be forewarned I haven't read everything and am probably missing a bunch of confessional information, I've kind of been in and out.

Why Deadpool should win the game

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Deadpool had a great early game start. He managed to have a strong personality that I thought was going to make him a target but it didn't really. Even though it seems like he coasted on the success of the heroes, as he mentioned there were a couple of times where things got hairy for him (the quorum and the final 5 vote) and he survived.

Deadpool won 2 individual immunities (13 and 19), more than the others. He can certainly play up his challenge threat nature to help garner votes.

Deadpool has an okay relationship with the jury and can probably influence votes if he can rekindle those fires.

How he loses

Deadpool's personality has been too brash and out there and it's rubbed people the wrong way all game (hi Ra's). The problem with a large clowning personality is sometimes it leaves little room to actually play the game and it's unclear to me if he's balanced that time correctly; how much he's planned vs. how much he's just made friends with everyone and had the cards fall where they may.

His jury management has clearly been lacking. For someone with his story especially against two UTR type players the jury should be eating him up and they aren't.

Against Zod he might lose from a villain jury pagong. Against Wolverine players may appreciate the same play in a calmer manner. Also against Wolverine them both being new cancels each other out.

Why Wolverine should win the game

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Wolvy, not Wolfy >.> <.< had a much better late game. It seems like he was learning the ropes. To be fair, saying boneheaded things in your confessional doesn't make you a bad player. His UTR game allowed him to sneak up through the merge and beyond to try make it to the end, and his late game plays have definitely helped make him a wolf in goat's clothing.

Starfire was like a black hole of amazing; whether or not Wolverine had a part in anything Starfire did it was hard to look past the Fire of the Star. Now that she does not exist, Wolverine has a chance to demonstrate and prove to the jury that he played a real part in some of these decision, not only being the swing vote getting rid of Starfire, but also in eliminating some of those past players.

How he loses

It's possible Wolverine can't shake the goat stigma.

At 0 challenge wins (though a couple close calls) it'll be an uphill battle; though not a requirement I personally like a winner to show that they can win challenges and still dodge bullets, or that they just reck everything.

Against Deadpool it's hard to see Wolverine as the mastermind; he looks like the third or fourth or fifth wheel of the hero alliance (and again the new modifier is removed). Against Zod he again may not find support from villains and it's possible Zod's played a better UTR game.

Why Zod should win the game

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Zod is the last airbender villain. This gives him brownie points with his villian buds but also can carve a story that shows the path a villain took to avoid the dreaded pagong. If he can describe his story well enough I think he can convince heroes to send votes his way.

It's hard to tell what Zod has done this game but he will have a good shot to plead his case. He's had a pretty steady run this entire game which has just been eclipsed from the viewers perspective from all the brilliance of the boisterous heroes. I seem to have him number one for Cyttorak, and I think that's telling of the way he kind of always found a place to fit in.

Zod has won a challenge, and even though Deadpool's won more it's not necessarily bad.

How he loses

Zod's UTR game may be too much, if he spins poorly his last remaining status is because he played just enough to get by and made no moves, while the others did.

Against Wolverine it's possible people saw Wolverine's UTR as more active, and he may get more votes from Starfire's help from beyond the grave. Against Deadpool Zod really doesn't look like he's done much (especially sleeping through a vote :P) even though he has.

Who wins?

I think if Deadpool wins the challenge he takes Wolverine.
I think if Zod wins the challenge he takes Wolverine.
I think it Wolverine wins the challenge he takes Starfire

I think Deadpool or Wolverine will win the final immunity challenge.

Zod vs. either hero I think Zod pulls out a win but I think it's close. Zod vs. Deadpool is more likely to end up in a Zod win but I don't know if he knows this so I think he takes Wolverine if he wins.
Deadpool vs. Wolverine I think Wolverine is a little more liked and his buddying with Starfire beats out Deadpool's case of "he did more stuff and was more vocal but to a fault" though I think it might go either way.

Zod: 50%
Wolverine: 35%
Deadpool: 15%

Personally I think Deadpool's played a slightly better game, though it's hard to tell since Zod and Wolverine have shined very late and it's easy to get distracted by a better late game play. I think Starfire played the best game and it looks like Wolverine was her true partner in crime. Finally getting out ally Starfire was probably one of the best moves all game since he chose correctly. I think all three have a lot of work to do to convince the jury they did much of anything all game, which itself is a daunting task and I wish them luck.
 
Booster Gold
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...and robot pal Skeets!
Booster Gold
Oct 18 2014, 05:05:59 AM
Be forewarned I haven't read everything and am probably missing a bunch of confessional information, I've kind of been in and out.
Please keep that in mind when you find out the glaring errors in my post :P
 
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