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2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Hurricane Matthew
Topic Started: Oct 2 2016, 01:02 AM (514 Views)
Webster
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USA Today: Category 4 Hurricane Matthew Roars Through Caribbean

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Matthew, a dangerous Category 4 hurricane, barreled through the Caribbean on Saturday toward Jamaica and Haiti. It could affect the U.S. East Coast next week, anywhere from Florida to Maine, the Weather Underground reported.

Even if the storm does not make a direct hit on Haiti, rains from Matthew are "expected to bring life-threatening rainfall to portions of Haiti," the National Hurricane Center said.

The hurricane also threatens Cuba and the Bahamas on Monday and Tuesday.

As of 8 p.m. ET Saturday, Matthew had maximum sustained winds of 150 mph, the National Hurricane Center said. The hurricane was stationary and was located 360 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti.

"Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through Monday," the NHC says.

Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 15 to 25 inches over southern Haiti, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 40 inches, the hurricane center said.

A hurricane warning has been posted for Jamaica and portions of Haiti. A hurricane watch has been issued for portions of eastern Cuba.

The U.S. Navy base at Guantánamo Bay on Saturday evacuated families and other so-called “non-essential personnel” from the remote outpost in southeast Cuba ahead of Matthew, the Miami Herald reported.

Friday night, when Matthew roared to Category 5 status, it became the strongest Atlantic Ocean Basin hurricane since Felix in 2007, NBC reported.

AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bernie Rayno said if Matthew moves swiftly as it heads north, it has a greater chance of causing significant impact from rain, wind and flooding along much of the Atlantic coast.

"On the other hand, if Matthew's forward speed slows, it could still have significant impact on the Atlantic coast, but in a much smaller area, when compared to a fast-moving hurricane," he said.

The hurricane center's five-day forecast cone — which marks the range of the storm's possible path — includes a portion of southeastern Florida early Wednesday.

In Jamaica, Prime Minister Andrew Holness said government services have been placed on high alert, according to the Jamaica Observer newspaper. Thursday, fishermen on Jamaica’s cays and banks were advised to evacuate immediately and return to the mainland.

Other small-craft operators in the island’s coastal waters were told to return to port, while those in port were advised not to venture out, the newspaper reported.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott said the state emergency operations centers were active Friday. He said state officials would continue to monitor Matthew's path and urged residents and tourists to monitor the storm and have their emergency plan in place.

"As Hurricane Matthew moves through the Caribbean this weekend, it’s a very dangerous storm and life threatening," Scott said. "We haven’t seen a storm of this magnitude approach our state in a very long time. While the National Hurricane Center’s forecast continues to show the track of the storm east of our state, it’s too soon to rule out impacts to Florida," he said.

A hurricane is classified as "major" when its sustained winds reach 111 mph. A major hurricane is a Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. It's the first major hurricane in September in the Caribbean since Felix in 2007.

Hurricane Matthew is the fifth hurricane and second major hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. It's now the only hurricane or typhoon on the planet.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Anyone trying to fly in or out of Florida and Georgia today is likely to have a difficult time.

Airports up and down the coast canceled flights in anticipation of Hurricane Matthew, including nearly all of today’s flights out of Orlando International Airport, and the vast majority out of Sanford, Jacksonville, Gainesville and Savannah, Georgia.
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Webster
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(Reddit Live) Due to the expected impacts of Hurricane Matthew, water feeds were shut down beachside in order to protect the infrastructure and integrity of the entire water distribution system.

Water service has now been restored to all Melbourne water customers living in beachside communities south of Pineda Causeway.

Therefore, as a precaution, we advise all beachside customers that all water used for drinking, cooking, making ice, brushing teeth, or washing dishes, be boiled. A rolling boil of one minute is sufficient. As an alternative, bottled water may be used.
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Webster
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--Matthew is expected to produce 8-12 in of rain and even 15 inches in some areas. This may result in flooding and flash flooding. Stay inside (FL Gov. Rick Scott, 7 Oct. 2016)
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(Reddit Live) Last few hours movement on radar
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Webster
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(The Guardian) South Carolina Governor: situation is 'getting worse'
--As Hurricane Matthew moves northward, South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley updated predictions for the storm’s impact on her state.

“We hoped it would relieve a little bit of the situation,” Haley said about the storm, adding, “We think it is getting worse.”

Haley specifically called out barrier islands along South Carolina’s coast, including Daniel and Daufuskie islands. Haley said 100 people chose to stay on Daufuskie island, which she warned could be severely flooded by storm surge.

“We are loking at major storm surges, we are looking at winds, we are looking at wet grounds,” said Haley. “There is nothing safe about what’s getting ready to happen.”

“This is the last time you will hear my voice, when I’m asking you to evacuate.”

As of Haley’s update, 310,000 South Carolinians had evacuated further inland, up from 280,000 Thursday. There are 2,000 state guardsmen on duty, and another 3,000 on standby.
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Webster
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(Reddit Live) 1) Eyewall brushed Florida's coast but did not make true landfall.
2) Currently, eye is just off of the North Florida Coast, and west wobbles have placed the eyewall over Daytona Beach.
3) Palm coast to Jacksonville are currently under great threat if it does not turn North soon.
4) Georgia may also be under threat of possible landfall.
5) Greatest landfall threat is in South Carolina, NHC track has been adjusted closer to the coast.
6) If landfall occurs in South Carolina, they will be getting the more powerful Northern eyewall.
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(Reddit Live) Current radar update
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--The 11am Friday prototype storm surge warning now extends from Florida to N. Carolina. #Matthew (NHC Atlantic Ops, 7 Oct. 2016)
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(Reddit Live) Eye getting very close to shore
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(The Guardian) Hurricane Matthew is now moving north along the Florida coast away from Daytona Beach and toward Jacksonville. In Daytona, the National Weather Service reports that winds are easing, but still hurricane force.

The latest observation had sustained winds at 73 mph on Daytona Beach, with gusts up to 91 mph. Hurricane force, beginning at category 1, is 74 mph.
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(Reddit Live) The inside of the eye is about to make landfall on Flagler Beach. Note, it will not be an OFFICIAL landfall unless the center of the eye passes over.
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(Reddit Live) Recon shows the NW wobble too. Not too many more of these before it's landfall.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Reporter Richard Luscombe has just delivered us this update from Florida, as Hurricane Matthew heads north toward Jacksonville.

Downed power lines and fallen trees appeared to be the worst of the damage in Martin and St Lucie counties to the south. Bill Snyder, the Martin County sheriff, said he believed his county had “dodged a bullet”.

“This could have been much worse,” he said. “It’s going to be a busy day but we are in good shape and God has truly blessed our area.”

Scott, however, said he was alarmed by the storm moving closer to Jacksonville, where the National Weather Service had warned of a “worst-case” flooding scenario. “I’m really concerned about Jacksonville, I’m really concerned about Nassau [county],” he said. “Jacksonville has a lot of low-lying areas and there is concern of significant flooding there.”


With Matthew forecasted to arrive off the coast of Georgia late Friday or early Saturday, Barack Obama signed an emergency declaration for the state, freeing federal resources for rescue and recovery efforts. The president signed a similar declaration for 28 counties along Florida’s east coast on Thursday.

In South Carolina, officials were preparing for a storm surge of 6-10ft and were continuing evacuations from coastal communities ahead of the storm’s arrival. In its 8am advisory, the NHC said Matthew would have weakened to a minor hurricane strength by then, with its shrinking wind field posing a reduced threat.
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(Reddit Live) Flagler Beach and Palm Coast: SIGNIFICANT Westward wobbles look like the eye may come on shore very soon
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--@FLGuard currently has 3,500 members activated; they have already started conducting assessments in South Florida. (FL Gov. Rick Scott - 7 Oct. 2016)
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