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2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Hurricane Matthew
Topic Started: Oct 2 2016, 01:02 AM (513 Views)
Webster
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USA Today: Category 4 Hurricane Matthew Roars Through Caribbean

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Matthew, a dangerous Category 4 hurricane, barreled through the Caribbean on Saturday toward Jamaica and Haiti. It could affect the U.S. East Coast next week, anywhere from Florida to Maine, the Weather Underground reported.

Even if the storm does not make a direct hit on Haiti, rains from Matthew are "expected to bring life-threatening rainfall to portions of Haiti," the National Hurricane Center said.

The hurricane also threatens Cuba and the Bahamas on Monday and Tuesday.

As of 8 p.m. ET Saturday, Matthew had maximum sustained winds of 150 mph, the National Hurricane Center said. The hurricane was stationary and was located 360 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti.

"Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through Monday," the NHC says.

Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 15 to 25 inches over southern Haiti, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 40 inches, the hurricane center said.

A hurricane warning has been posted for Jamaica and portions of Haiti. A hurricane watch has been issued for portions of eastern Cuba.

The U.S. Navy base at Guantánamo Bay on Saturday evacuated families and other so-called “non-essential personnel” from the remote outpost in southeast Cuba ahead of Matthew, the Miami Herald reported.

Friday night, when Matthew roared to Category 5 status, it became the strongest Atlantic Ocean Basin hurricane since Felix in 2007, NBC reported.

AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bernie Rayno said if Matthew moves swiftly as it heads north, it has a greater chance of causing significant impact from rain, wind and flooding along much of the Atlantic coast.

"On the other hand, if Matthew's forward speed slows, it could still have significant impact on the Atlantic coast, but in a much smaller area, when compared to a fast-moving hurricane," he said.

The hurricane center's five-day forecast cone — which marks the range of the storm's possible path — includes a portion of southeastern Florida early Wednesday.

In Jamaica, Prime Minister Andrew Holness said government services have been placed on high alert, according to the Jamaica Observer newspaper. Thursday, fishermen on Jamaica’s cays and banks were advised to evacuate immediately and return to the mainland.

Other small-craft operators in the island’s coastal waters were told to return to port, while those in port were advised not to venture out, the newspaper reported.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott said the state emergency operations centers were active Friday. He said state officials would continue to monitor Matthew's path and urged residents and tourists to monitor the storm and have their emergency plan in place.

"As Hurricane Matthew moves through the Caribbean this weekend, it’s a very dangerous storm and life threatening," Scott said. "We haven’t seen a storm of this magnitude approach our state in a very long time. While the National Hurricane Center’s forecast continues to show the track of the storm east of our state, it’s too soon to rule out impacts to Florida," he said.

A hurricane is classified as "major" when its sustained winds reach 111 mph. A major hurricane is a Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. It's the first major hurricane in September in the Caribbean since Felix in 2007.

Hurricane Matthew is the fifth hurricane and second major hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. It's now the only hurricane or typhoon on the planet.
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Webster
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(Reddit Live) Charleston international Airport is will be closing at about 1:00 PM. The last plane out will be Delta at 12:50 PM. All runways will be closing at midnight.
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(Reddit Live) Time: 2016-10-07T16:15:00Z UTC
Event: STORM SURGE
Source: TRAINED SPOTTER
Remark: SPOTTER RELAYED PICTURES OF HOMES BEING UNDERMINED BY THE HIGH TIDE AT EDISTO BEACH. WATER SPILLING ONTO PARTS OF PALMETTO BOULEVARD.
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Webster
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--Orlando Melbourne International Airport is back to full operations. Flights resume/normal sked. @FlyMLB #HurricaneMatthew (Brevard EOC, 7 oct. 2016)
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(National Hurricane Center, 2pm Update - 7 Oct. 2016)
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Webster
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--COUNTY CURFEW UPDATE: Charleston/Berkeley, midnight – 6 am, Beaufort 7 pm - 7 am, Dorchester 6 pm until and Williamsburg 8 pm - 8 am (SC Dept. of Emerg. Mgt., 7 Oct. 2016)
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(Reddit Live) Tornado warning - Hilton Head Island

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF... BEAUFORT COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... UNTIL 415 PM EDT

AT 340 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT ROYAL...MOVING WEST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.
TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HILTON HEAD ISLAND...BLUFFTON...FRIPP ISLAND...FOLLY FIELD...HILTON HEAD AIRPORT...ROSE HILL AND PARRIS ISLAND.
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--Move to higher ground! Flash Flood Warning including Nassau County, FL until 6:45 PM EDT (NWS Jacksonville, 7 Oct. 2016)
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(The Guardian) So far, Hurricane Matthew has spared Florida its worst winds, with the eye-wall only glancingly striking parts of the coast, Dr Steven Godby, an expert on natural hazards at Nottingham Trent University, told the Guardian.

Matthew is grazing the coast of Florida without quite making landfall as the forecast models have been predicting and, if this remains the case, then the Florida coast will be spared the most powerful winds which are wrapped around the storm’s inner core.

On the downside this means that the north Florida and Georgia coastlines can expect several hours of high winds, enough to cause structural damage and affect power supplies.

A direct hit on the coast would have brought far more damage but this scenario means a wider area will be affected.


However, Godby said that a wobble to the west by 20-30 miles would bring the most powerful winds around the eye of Matthew ashore.
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(Hurricanes - Ready Georgia) If a hurricane is likely in your area, you should: Listen to the radio or TV or download the Ready Georgia app. Secure your home, close storm shutters and secure outdoor objects or bring them indoors. Turn off utilities if instructed to do so.
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(Reddit Live) 4:00 PM EDT Fri Oct 7 NOAA Update

Moving: N at 12 mph Min pressure: 948 mb Max sustained: 115 mph
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(National Hurricane Center, Rain Probablilities Estimate - 7 Oct, 2016)
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Webster
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(Reddit Live) THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 495 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
(1) IN GEORGIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
BRYAN, CHATHAM, EFFINGHAM,

(2) IN SOUTH CAROLINA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
BEAUFORT, BERKELEY, CHARLESTON, COLLETON, DORCHESTER, HAMPTON, JASPER

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(Reddit Live) Latest radar still shows a large area of high winds and storms to the north probably spinning around into the land in the next few hours
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--A chilling photo on the southern end of Anastasia Island of high rising water on cars and houses. (News 4 Jacksonville, 7 Oct. 2016)
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Some more granular detail on what to expect over the next day or so from the National Hurricane Center.

Matthew is expected to change little in intensity during the next 6 to 12 hours, but it should begin to weaken at a faster pace in 24 hours.

Matthew is reaching the northwestern edge of the subtropical ridge and encounter the mid-latitude westerlies. This flow pattern should steer the hurricane northward and then northeastward during the next 36 hours. After that time, the flow pattern is forecast to change again and a weakening Matthew should then turn southward and southwestward.


We have been very fortunate that Matthew’s category 3 winds have remained a short distance offshore of the Florida Coast thus far, but this should not be a reason to let down our guard. Only a small deviation to the left of the forecast track could bring these winds onshore.

The key takeaways:
--The western eyewall of Matthew, which contains hurricane-force winds, is expected to move over or very near the coast of northeastern Florida and Georgia today.
--Hurricane winds increase very rapidly with height, and occupants of high-rise buildings in the Jacksonville area are at particular risk of strong winds. Winds at the top of a 30-story building will average one category higher than the winds near the surface.
--The water hazards remain, even if the core of Matthew remains offshore. These include the danger of life-threatening inundation from storm surge, as well as inland flooding from heavy rains from Florida to North Carolina.
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