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2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Hurricane Matthew
Topic Started: Oct 2 2016, 01:02 AM (512 Views)
Webster
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USA Today: Category 4 Hurricane Matthew Roars Through Caribbean

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Matthew, a dangerous Category 4 hurricane, barreled through the Caribbean on Saturday toward Jamaica and Haiti. It could affect the U.S. East Coast next week, anywhere from Florida to Maine, the Weather Underground reported.

Even if the storm does not make a direct hit on Haiti, rains from Matthew are "expected to bring life-threatening rainfall to portions of Haiti," the National Hurricane Center said.

The hurricane also threatens Cuba and the Bahamas on Monday and Tuesday.

As of 8 p.m. ET Saturday, Matthew had maximum sustained winds of 150 mph, the National Hurricane Center said. The hurricane was stationary and was located 360 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti.

"Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through Monday," the NHC says.

Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 15 to 25 inches over southern Haiti, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 40 inches, the hurricane center said.

A hurricane warning has been posted for Jamaica and portions of Haiti. A hurricane watch has been issued for portions of eastern Cuba.

The U.S. Navy base at Guantánamo Bay on Saturday evacuated families and other so-called “non-essential personnel” from the remote outpost in southeast Cuba ahead of Matthew, the Miami Herald reported.

Friday night, when Matthew roared to Category 5 status, it became the strongest Atlantic Ocean Basin hurricane since Felix in 2007, NBC reported.

AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bernie Rayno said if Matthew moves swiftly as it heads north, it has a greater chance of causing significant impact from rain, wind and flooding along much of the Atlantic coast.

"On the other hand, if Matthew's forward speed slows, it could still have significant impact on the Atlantic coast, but in a much smaller area, when compared to a fast-moving hurricane," he said.

The hurricane center's five-day forecast cone — which marks the range of the storm's possible path — includes a portion of southeastern Florida early Wednesday.

In Jamaica, Prime Minister Andrew Holness said government services have been placed on high alert, according to the Jamaica Observer newspaper. Thursday, fishermen on Jamaica’s cays and banks were advised to evacuate immediately and return to the mainland.

Other small-craft operators in the island’s coastal waters were told to return to port, while those in port were advised not to venture out, the newspaper reported.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott said the state emergency operations centers were active Friday. He said state officials would continue to monitor Matthew's path and urged residents and tourists to monitor the storm and have their emergency plan in place.

"As Hurricane Matthew moves through the Caribbean this weekend, it’s a very dangerous storm and life threatening," Scott said. "We haven’t seen a storm of this magnitude approach our state in a very long time. While the National Hurricane Center’s forecast continues to show the track of the storm east of our state, it’s too soon to rule out impacts to Florida," he said.

A hurricane is classified as "major" when its sustained winds reach 111 mph. A major hurricane is a Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. It's the first major hurricane in September in the Caribbean since Felix in 2007.

Hurricane Matthew is the fifth hurricane and second major hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. It's now the only hurricane or typhoon on the planet.
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Webster
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--Residents on Kiawah and Seabrook Islands should take note (SC Dept. of Emerg. Mgt - 7 Oct. 2016)
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Webster
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--Jacksonville fire truck stuck in water. I'm told this is in Ortega @ActionNewsJax #HurricaneMatthew (Danielle Avitable, Action News [CBS 47] Jacksonville - 7 Oct. 2016)
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Webster
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(The Guardian) More than 1m people in Florida are now without power, the Associated Press is reporting.

State officials released updated totals on Friday that showed that the powerful Category 3 storm had knocked out electricity over a wide stretch of the state’s eastern coast.

Most of the customers in Flagler and Volusia County the home to Daytona Beach were without power. Other hard hit areas include Brevard and Indian River counties.

The storm was strong enough to also cause outages in Central Florida. More than 100,000 who live in the Orlando area are without electricity.
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Webster
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--Hurricane Warning issued October 07 at 5:00PM EDT until further notice by NWS NWS National Hurricane Center (New Hanover County NC - 7 Oct. 2016)
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(The Guardian) The US Geological Survey (USGS) is working to try to work out what effect this storm could have on coastal erosion.

In a release, Hilary Stockdon, a research oceanographer with the USGS, said that “strong winds will create dangerous waves and surge over a large stretch of the coastline, leading to extensive beach and dune erosion.”

The report continues: Results of the modeling indicate Hurricane Matthew could have a significant impact on the beaches and dunes of the Southeastern United States.

As of Thursday morning, the coastal change model estimates that Florida’s large eastern coastline has an 80-percent likely chance of beach erosion from Miami to the state border.

Georgia’s smaller coastline is estimated to have a 95-percent likely chance of beach erosion while South Carolina has an 85-percent likely chance of experiencing beach erosion across it’s coastline. Because the projections are based on storm-surge forecasts, they change each time the storm surge forecast is updated.


Beach erosion is only the first level of damage a major storm can cause, the USGS said.

As waves and surge reach higher than the top of the dune, overwash occurs, often transporting large amounts of sand across coastal environments, depositing sand inland and causing significant changes to the landscape.
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Webster
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(National Hurricane Center, 5pm Update - 7 Oct. 2016)
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(Reddit Live) Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
920 PM EDT Fri Oct 7 2016
...Matthew's eye is forecast to come uncomfortably close to the Charleston Metro area with the potential for the western eye wall to brush areas such as Kiawah Island, Folly Beach, Downtown Charleston, Mount Pleasant, Isle of Palms and Sullivan's Island with gusts in excess of 100 mph.

The worst conditions will occur overnight into Saturday. Solid tropical storm conditions are expected with hurricane conditions, particularly in frequent gusts, expected along the Georgia and far Southern South Carolina coasts. For Edisto Beach up across Charleston County, the risk for sustained hurricane force winds is still increasing, especially along/east of Highway 17, including Downtown Charleston. Frequent gusts to hurricane force could occur as far inland as Summerville.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO STRESS...any slight deviation to the right or left of this track could significantly alter what level of impacts are realized.
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--More than a million lost power during #HurricaneMatthew in Florida
(Kara Dapena, Miami Herald - 7 Oct. 2016)
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--Here is a list of roadway signals that may be out or flashing (Charleston Police Dept., 7 Oct. 2016)
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--High tide in Charleston coming just after midnight about 9 ft. Tide will be several ft below record, but still one of highest on record. (Dave Epstein, Boston Globe - 7 Oct. 2016)
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(Reddit Live) All Roper St. Francis Hospital Emergency Rooms, with the exception of Roper Northwoods, remain open at this time. The Bon Secours St. Francis Hospital in the West Ashley area of Charleston has lost power but has generators on that are running everything.
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Webster
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(Reddit Live) Storm barreling north to Charleston. If you are in Charleston conditions will deteriorate quickly. Have a plan and your supplies ready. Get flashlights ready.
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--Savannah Fire has SUSPENDED safety response due to deteriorating weather conditions, high winds and flooding.... (City of Savannah, 7 Oct. 2016)
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--At this time all emergency medical response in Chatham County is suspended until further notice. #HurricaneMatthew (Chatham County Emerg. Mgt., 7 Oct. 2016)
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