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2017 French Presidential Election Thread - Round 1
Topic Started: Apr 22 2017, 12:47 AM (153 Views)
Webster
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In June 2016, British voters pulled the initial trigger for their now-certain departure from the EU; in November, U.S. voters stunned the electoral world by electing Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States.......now French voters go to the polls on Sunday to decide who should be their next president....
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Webster
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(The Guardian) In Nice, Oscar Lopez has found voters seemingly willing to forgive François Fillon his judicial problems. Laura Lili, 27, said the entire campaign was ridiculous – “All they did was attack each other, nobody spoke about their programmmes – but in the end, she opted for the conservative candidate.

Fillon’s promise to support French businesses won her over. “Nowadays everything is made overseas,” she said. “All we have are big franchises while French stores shut down. We’re going to hit a crisis.”

And while immigration was a serious concern, Fillon’s promise to stay in the EU was key: “It’s our strength,” she says. As far as the Penelopegate affair, she says “he screwed it up. But everyone’s done that. He’s the best of all of them, for the future of France.”

Daphne Atlani, 42, was equally disappointed in the campaign. “It was a catastrophe,” she says. “Our real questions were never answered..” In the end, she too chose Fillon. “He has the experience,” she says. “And I don’t care that he paid his wife. They’ve all done that, and anyone in that position would do the same - it’s just human nature.”

Atlani was also concerned about France’s economy, and was worried about immigration. But she was wary of the extreme positions taken up by parties like the National Front. “Being represented by Le Pen or Mélenchon, that’s scary,” she says. “I’m very frightened about the results.”
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Webster
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(The Guardian) First polling stations close
--The first polling stations have now closed, mainly in rural areas and counting has started. Polling stations in large cities and urban areas will remain open until 8pm CET.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) How does France’s system of vote estimates work?
--Unlike many countries which operate exit polls asking voters how they voted, the initial vote estimate in French elections – in use and steadily perfected since 1965 – is based on an actual vote count.

Pollsters select about 200 polling stations around the country, in rural areas, small towns and urban agglomerations, carefully chosen to be as representative as possible of the country as a whole.

When the polling stations close – all are among those that close early, at 7pm – and as the votes are being counted, a polling official records, for a sizeable sample of the ballots, the number of votes for each candidate.

Those numbers are then run through a sophisticated computer program that adjusts them for past results and assorted variables, and produces a national vote estimate. This is not the official result, but nor is it an opinion poll.

It is usually very accurate, to within a percentage point of so – but this being an exceptionally close race, a percentage point may be decisive. So either we will have a reliable result at 7pm, or we won’t.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Here are the views of some other Guardian readers in France, who voted for Mélenchon and Le Pen.

--Marinou, 46, Normandy, special needs teacher, voted for Mélenchon: He’s a clever, decent man. You can trust him. He speaks for normal people and shows true respect for us. I always voted for left parties. I work in a very deprived part of France I can see how much children suffer from poverty and exclusion.
--Clément, 24, Besançon, student, likewise: He is the only serious candidate that puts humanity before economy, democracy before presidency, life before productivity. He is the last serious candidate that seems to actually be from the left.
--Clément, 30, Lyon, writer: Mélenchon brought some “joie de vivre” out of us. We have to stand up to Germany and develop relationships with all countries in the EU, such as Greece, Italy, Portugal, and, oddly enough, the UK. Brexit changed everything. We need to speak with everybody to solve our problems.
--Jacques, 21, Mulhouse, voted for Le Pen: Le Front National has a vision for my country. The absolute freedom without restrictions and regulations ruined several aspects of French society and economy. France has signed over important sovereign rights. There is too much tolerance to terrorism, lack of independence and self dominion external authorities rule the country. I was usually socialist but in the recent years France has changed dramatically. France is not the country I was born in.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Candidates await results
--Marine Le Pen is in her fiefdom of Hénin-Baumont, Jean-Luc Mélenchon is in a bar in the 10th arrondissement of Paris, François Fillon in his campaign HQ in the 15th arrondissement, and Socialist Benoît Hamon at the La Mutalité conference centre.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Initial vote estimate: Macron and Le Pen through to runoff
--The official first vote estimate for the first round of France’s presidential election shows the independent centrist, Emmanuel Macron, has scored 23.7% of the vote and Marine Le Pen 21.7% and have qualified for the second run-off round.

Remember, this is not the official result and those figures could yet change.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Different broadcasters are giving marginally different figures, but that looks like the basic picture: Macron marginally ahead of Le Pen (some polling institutes have them dead level), with Fillon and Mélenchon trailing on around 19.5%. The Socialist candidate, Hamon, is way down on 6.5%.

The two second-round contestants seem clear. It will be the independent centrist versus the far-right leader – two radically opposing visions of France.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Independent centrist Macron estimated to have taken 23.7% of vote with National Front leader Le Pen on 21.7%; official results to follow
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Gérard Collomb, the Socialist mayor of Lyon and a Macron supporter, has told France 2 television: He has succeeded in doing what few people expected. When, a year ago, we launched his movement En Marche!, people said: ‘It’s impossible, someone who does not belong to a political party can’t reach the second round.” It reveals a serious malaise in society, with people who don’t recognise themselves in the traditional parties. We are, without doubt, beginning a new era.
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Webster
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(The Guardian) Marion Maréchal Le Pen, Marine’s niece, has tweeted her delight at her aunt’s presence in the second-round run-off on 7 May, describing it as “a great victory for patriots”...
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Webster
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(The Guardian) A (very) brief word from Emmanuel Macron to the French news agency AFP: We’re turning a page in French political history.

It is worth underlining that this is the first time in modern French history that neither of the mainstream centre-right or centre-left parties of government that have governed France since the second world war have qualified for the second round of a presidential election.
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Webster
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--LIVE NOW: Students protest results of French election (CTV News - 23 April 2017)
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Webster
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(The Guardian) The French prime minister, Bernard Cazeneuve, has joined his Socialist party’s defeated candidate, Benoît Hamon, in urging the party’s voters to support Emmanuel Macron in the second round.

I solemnly call for a vote for Emmanuel Macron in the second round in order to beat the Front National and obstruct the disastrous project of Marine Le Pen that would take France backwards and divide the French people.
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Webster
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--Fillon now conceding. Clearly believes projections are correct. Stubbornly refused to stand down after fraud charges - cost his party dear (James Mates, ITV News - 23 April 2017)
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Webster
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--Francois Fillon has called on supporters to vote for Macron: "“There is no other choice than to vote against the extreme right" #France2017 (Ryan heath, Politico - 23 April 2017)
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