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2017 TC Three Thread
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Topic Started: Jun 20 2017, 12:52 AM (37 Views)
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Webster
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Jun 20 2017, 12:52 AM
Post #1
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AccuWeather: Gulf of Mexico coast remains on alert for budding tropical system

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A broad area of disturbed weather over the Gulf of Mexico has the potential to become a tropical system while causing areas of heavy rain and building seas this week. The system has been dubbed Potential Tropical Cyclone Three and could become a tropical depression or storm over the next few days.
As the system drifts farther away from Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, the chance of developing into a tropical system will increase. “Lessening disruptive winds over the Gulf of Mexico, combined with very warm sea-surface temperatures, will give the system an opportunity to strengthen and organize over the next day or two,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said.
Exactly where the system organizes fully will determine its future track.
The system may take shape over the central Gulf of Mexico and be pulled northward to the central Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana. Another scenario takes the system on a more westward track toward the coasts of northeastern Mexico, Texas or western Louisiana.
However, while the Gulf of Mexico may give birth to a tropical depression or storm this week, there is likely to be just enough disruptive wind above the surface to prevent the system from rapidly intensifying. In the meantime, heavy rain will continue to fall on parts of western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula, which will raise the risk of flash flooding and mudslides. --Read more: https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/gulf-of-mexico-coast-remains-on-alert-for-budding-tropical-system/70001974
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Webster
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Jun 20 2017, 12:03 PM
Post #2
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Weather Undergorund: Gulf Coast Prepares As PTC Three Draws Closer
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As Potential Tropical Cyclone Three inched toward the Gulf Coast, officials warned residents to prepare seriously for the expected deluge of rainfall that will trigger flooding for many.
A state of emergency was declared Tuesday by Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey as the state prepared for impacts from the system. The emergency declaration, which went into effect at 10 a.m. CDT Tuesday, makes state resources available to assist areas impacted by the storm.
In Alabama and along the Florida Panhandle, the system began to dump heavy rain Tuesday morning, and swimming at some beaches was off-limits as a result, according to AL.com. This included Panama City Beach, Gulf Shores and Orange Beach, the report also said.
"With severe weather including heavy rain and flooding expected across the Florida Panhandle this week, families in Northwest Florida should remain alert to local news and weather updates and make sure they have a plan," Florida Gov. Rick Scott said in a release. "I have been monitoring the storm system in the Gulf of Mexico and will continue to receive briefings on possible impacts to our state."
In southern Louisiana, emergency management officials from several parishes met to discuss preparations for the heavy rainfall expected to be the biggest threat for most in the path of the storm, according to the New Orleans Advocate. "We learned from last year's floods that even unnamed storms can be devastating," Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards said in a statement.
While no evacuations have been ordered in New Orleans, officials urged residents of the city to prepare for prolonged power outages, or even the possibility they may need to evacuate, the report added. In some surrounding parishes, sandbags were ordered and many prepared for low-lying areas to flood.
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Webster
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Jun 20 2017, 12:40 PM
Post #3
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 --TS Watches and Warnings extended westward along the Louisiana and Texas coasts for Potential Tropical Cyclone 3 (NHC Atlantic Ops, 20 June 2017)
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Webster
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Jun 20 2017, 12:42 PM
Post #4
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 --Potential T.C. #3 will produce heavy rainfall and #flashflooding! Turn around, don't drown! #PTC3 (NWS Weather Prediction Ctr, 20 June 2017)
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Webster
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Jun 20 2017, 01:58 PM
Post #5
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 --JUST IN: Tropical storm Cindy has formed in the Gulf of Mexico; 6-9 inches of rain expected with maximum sustained winds currently at 45 mph (ABC News, 20 June 2017)
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Webster
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Jun 20 2017, 06:34 PM
Post #6
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 --#Cindy could produce up to 12" of rain across portions of the northern Gulf coast, possibly leading to life-threatening flash floods. (NHC Atlantic Ops, 20 June 2017)
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Webster
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Jun 21 2017, 01:02 PM
Post #7
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Weather Underground: Tropical Storm Cindy Pushes Toward Central Gulf Coast

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A high risk of life-threatening flooding continues on Wednesday over parts of the central Gulf Coast as Tropical Storm Cindy lumbers toward shore. The greatest flood threat will be across low-lying areas of far southern Mississippi and Alabama, according to the NWS/NOAA Weather Prediction Center. A second area with a moderate flood risk lies across far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana.
As of 8:00 am EDT Wednesday, Cindy was centered about 200 miles southeast of Galveston, TX, moving northwest at 8 mph. Cindy’s top sustained winds were estimated at 60 mph. Models are in general agreement that Cindy will continue northwest and gradually arc northward. The official outlook from the NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center early Wednesday brought Cindy ashore near the Texas/Louisiana border on Thursday afternoon. Tropical storm warnings were in effect from San Luis Pass, TX, to the Alabama/Florida border, including metropolitan Houston and New Orleans. Most of the impacts from Cindy will be near or east of where its center makes landfall.
Satellite images of Cindy on Wednesday morning showed a disheveled, ragged-looking tropical storm, with showers and thunderstorms (convection) located mainly well north and east of a low-level circulation whose center was largely devoid of rainfall (see Figure 2). “Cindy does not look much like a tropical cyclone on satellite images this morning,” acknowledged NHC forecaster Richard Pasch early Wednesday. Cindy’s convection was being shunted from its center by strong southwest wind shear of around 30 mph. That shear will remain strong through Wednesday, according to the SHIPS model, which should prevent Cindy from any further consolidation as it pushes toward land.
Tropical storms and depressions do not have to be super-organized or packed with fierce winds to cause plenty of trouble. Even a weak, slow-moving system can produce enormous amounts of rain and massive flooding. We saw this with 2016’s “no-name flood” across southeast Louisiana, a $10 billion disaster produced by a system that never even qualified as a tropical depression. “Residents in South Louisiana are still cleaning up from this catastrophic flood, which inundated tens of thousands of buildings,” wrote storm surge expert Hal Needham in a blog post on Tuesday. “Last month I drove through Denham Springs, Louisiana, one of the worst impacted areas, and was saddened to see many people still cleaning up and living in trailers on their property. Let's hope the forecasted heavy rains do not repeat flooding in these hardest-hit areas.” -Read more: https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/tropical-storm-cindy-pushes-toward-central-gulf-coast
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Webster
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Jun 21 2017, 11:17 PM
Post #8
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AccuWeather: TS Cindy Approaching Gulf Coast, Brings Floods & Tornadoes To Region
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Tropical Storm Cindy continues to approach the Gulf Coast and is expected to make landfall early Thursday morning along the border of Texas and Louisiana.
The storm, which has been impacting Gulf Coast states with heavy rain since early in the week, will continue to be threatening with severe weather, life-threatening flooding and rip currents from Texas to Florida into Thursday.
Emergency officials throughout the South have already begun readying swift-water rescue teams and enacting other precautions to make sure communities have the proper assistance.
State offices in Louisiana are already being closed for Thursday. Gov. John Bel Edwards announced some of the closures on Twitter on Wednesday evening.
At 7:10 p.m. CDT Wednesday, a confirmed tornado was located near Onycha, Alabama and was moving north. The tornado was confirmed by law enforcement and public sources.
More tornadoes and waterspouts are possible from southern Louisiana through the Florida Panhandle into Wednesday night as rain and thunderstorms associated with Tropical Storm Cindy move through the area.
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