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| Poll Night: PA-18 Special Election | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Mar 13 2018, 08:48 PM (100 Views) | |
| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 08:48 PM Post #1 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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![]() ...polls closed about 45 minutes ago; we now pick up coverage of the election as results come in.... ![]() (Daily Kos) Polls close at 8 PM ET in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, where Republican Rick Saccone faces Democrat Conor Lamb in a special election for the final months of former Republican Rep. Tim Murphy’s term. This Western Pennsylvania seat backed Trump 58-39 and Romney 58-41, but Republicans are worried that Trump’s unpopularity, as well as a weak campaign by Saccone and a strong effort from Lamb, will allow Democrats to flip this district. While a new map ordered by the state Supreme Court will dramatically change this seat’s boundaries ahead of the November general election, Republican outside groups have still spent millions to avoid what would be an embarrassing loss. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 08:50 PM Post #2 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily Kos) Polls have just closed, though it may be a while before we see any results. The NYT says it expects the first returns at around 8:20 PM ET, but it’s not clear what they’re basing that on. (Daily Kos) Republicans have been working hard to blame one another in the event of a Saccone loss. In the event of a Saccone win, on the other hand, things sure will get very awkward in DC... -Watch: https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/973712225880952832 |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 08:51 PM Post #3 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily Kos) Grumble. Westmoreland County, which makes up about a third of the district by population, says it doesn’t expect to post results until about 9:30 PM ET. (Daily Kos) The very first trickle of votes has started to come in, but as always, you can’t read anything into such small numbers. We typically wait until about 10% of precincts have reported to start talking about the returns. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 08:53 PM Post #4 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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![]() --GOP drop-off in vote share already pretty damning. Will see if it holds. If so… Lamb will win (G. Edward Morris, The Economist - 13 March 2018) |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 08:55 PM Post #5 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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--Just to show how much Lamb is overperforming: Waynesburg Borough #2 2016: Trump +23 2018: Lamb +22 Waynesburg Borough #3 2016: Trump +31 2018: Saccone +8 Gray 2016: Trump +43 2018: Saccone +12 If Saccone loses tonight, this may be a reversal of tide in a red area of PA-18. (Benchmark Politics, 13 March 2018) |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 08:57 PM Post #6 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily Kos) We just crossed the 10% reporting threshold, and Lamb is up 59-41. So far, Lamb is ahead of his benchmarks (see link above) in every county, though the amount reporting in each county is still small so far. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 08:59 PM Post #7 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(New York Times) - 15 percent Conor Lamb, 59% Rick Saccone, 40% Drew Miller, 1% |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 09:03 PM Post #8 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(New York Times) - 19 percent Conor Lamb (D), 57.1% Rick Saccone (R), 42.3% Drew Miller (Lib), 0.6% |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 09:04 PM Post #9 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily Kos) 19% of precincts are now reporting, and Lamb’s lead remains largely steady, at 58-42. However, note that some bluer areas (particularly in Washington County) have reported first. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 09:11 PM Post #10 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily Kos) As we noted earlier, Westmoreland County says it likely won’t have any results until 9:30 PM ET. Most of the results so far are from Allegheny County, which is the bluest in the district (the portions in PA-18 went for Trump 50-46). Westmoreland’s portion is far redder: It went 65-31 Trump. (Daily Kos) Well, looks like Westmoreland has started coming in a bit early. We just got a huge dump of votes, taking us to 36% reporting and considerably narrowing the margin, to 54-46 Lamb. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 09:16 PM Post #11 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(New York Times) - 45 percent Conor Lamb (D), 53.6% Rick Saccone (R), 45.7% Drew Miller (Lib), 0.6% |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 09:18 PM Post #12 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily Kos) Vote-counting has suddenly picked up steam. We’re at 45% reporting now, and Lamb is still at 54-46. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 09:19 PM Post #13 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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--More precincts rolling in Smith 1 2016: Trump +15 2018: Lamb +15 North Bethelhem 2016: Trump +31 2018: Saccone +3 These results are spectacular numbers for Lamb. (Benchmark Politics, 13 March 2018) |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 09:26 PM Post #14 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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--So far, Lamb (D) is doing well enough in Westmoreland to pull this out: he's above 43% w/ 53% of precincts reporting there. BUT, unclear what precincts are left there. #PA18 (Dave Wasserman, Cook Political Report - 13 March 2018) |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 09:29 PM Post #15 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(New York Times) - 61 percent Conor Lamb (D), 52.7% Rick Saccone (R), 46.7% Drew Miller (Lib), 0.6% |
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