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| Poll Night: PA-18 Special Election | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Mar 13 2018, 08:48 PM (101 Views) | |
| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 08:48 PM Post #1 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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![]() ...polls closed about 45 minutes ago; we now pick up coverage of the election as results come in.... ![]() (Daily Kos) Polls close at 8 PM ET in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, where Republican Rick Saccone faces Democrat Conor Lamb in a special election for the final months of former Republican Rep. Tim Murphy’s term. This Western Pennsylvania seat backed Trump 58-39 and Romney 58-41, but Republicans are worried that Trump’s unpopularity, as well as a weak campaign by Saccone and a strong effort from Lamb, will allow Democrats to flip this district. While a new map ordered by the state Supreme Court will dramatically change this seat’s boundaries ahead of the November general election, Republican outside groups have still spent millions to avoid what would be an embarrassing loss. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 11:12 PM Post #46 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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--Lamb outperforms expectations in Allegheny, Washington, and Green counties, with 100% of precincts reporting, for a 50-49 win over the Republican, as of this writing. Only Westmoreland County, the most solidly Republican county in the district, reports (all together now) "technical irregularities" and, sure enough, won't have complete results, until the rest of the district has reported. ONLY Westmoreland. Wait for it. As of 8 pm Pacific time, the other counties have finalized results for Lamb, from allegheny where he won by more than expected, to Greene where he lost by a narrower margin than expected. By midnight, watch for the vote counters in Westmoreland to report (all together now) "stunningly high turnout" that miraculously gives the Republican not just a narrow come from behind win, but EXACTLY enough of a margin to avoid a runoff. And neither the Democratic Party nor the media will challenge it. (Daily Kos user AdmiralNaismith, 13 March 2018) |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 11:15 PM Post #47 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily Kos) Okay! Here we are. Lamb-friendly Allegheny County has tallied its absentees, and those are now reflected in the results you’ll find at the links above. Lamb is currently up 847 votes, or 49.9 to 49.5 percent. HOWEVER, the other three counties have not tallied their absentees yet, and only Westmoreland plans to do so tonight. In addition, there are still two regular, Election Day precincts left to count in Westmoreland, which is Saccone-friendly turf. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 11:22 PM Post #48 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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--#BREAKING: Projection: Dem @ConorLambPA will win the #PA18 House special election by 0.2%. Trump won this seat by 20% in 2016. Dems have flipped 39 state lege seats since 2016, 1 U.S. Senate seat, and now 1 U.S. House seat. Blue wave seems imminent. (G. Edward Morris, 13 March 2018) |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 11:25 PM Post #49 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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--ADVISORY: The Associated Press is not declaring a winner in Tuesday's special election for PA's 18th CD because the race between Democrat Conor Lamb and Republican Rick Saccone is too close to call. Under PA state law, supporters of the trailing candidate can request a recount. (Stephen Ohlemacher, Associated Press - 13 March 2018) |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 11:26 PM Post #50 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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--Get ready to burn the midnight oil in #pa18: Washington County now is changing plans, will count 1,195 absentee ballots TONIGHT rather than tomorrow AM. Will take -- gulp -- "several hours," county official tells @wolfblitzer (manu Raju, CNN - 13 March 2018) |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 11:36 PM Post #51 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily KOs) First, a quick update on the numbers, then some analysis. Lamb is currently up 847 votes, or 49.9 to 49.5 percent, with two precincts in Saccone-friendly Westmoreland County uncounted, as well as absentees in Westmoreland, Washington, and Green Counties uncounted. Westmoreland plans to count its absentees tonight, and Washington apparently will, too, after previously saying it would not. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 11:40 PM Post #52 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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(Daily Kos) The New York Times' Nate Cohn expects Saccone to net roughly 200 votes from the last two Westmoreland precincts. That would give Lamb a lead of about 650 votes. According to CNN, there are about 3,200 absentee ballots in the three outstanding counties (Westmoreland, Greene, and Washington). To pull ahead, Saccone (based on that hypothetical 650-vote lead) would have to win that pile of absentees by a 60-40 margin. However, he's won the Election Day tally in those three counties by just 56-44. What’s more, absentee ballots in Pennsylvania traditionally favor Democrats, and in fact, they’ve already done so in this race: In Allegheny County, Lamb won the Election Day count by a margin of 15 percent but won the absentees by 24 percent. |
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| Webster | Mar 13 2018, 11:43 PM Post #53 |
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Wasatch Storyteller & Resident Forum Curmudgeon
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We're calling it a night tonight; absentee votes should be counted in Washington County tonight, possibly in Westmoreland and Greene by noon Wednesday; regardless, this was a big night for Democrats and the potential for a blue wave in the midterms might've just gone up a bit more....thanks for following along; feel free to comment. |
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