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China Is Collapsing; economy and political party in jeopardy
Topic Started: Tue Apr 22, 2014 2:41 am (630 Views)
Flipzi
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CHINA WILL COLLAPSE STARTING 2014, AS PER HONGKONG MEDIA

- The article in Frontline categorically stated that the Chinese Communist Party would collapse in three phases over the next three years, and its reign would end in 2016. First, in 2014 China's economy will fall, and in the next year the political structure of the Communist Party will be destroyed. Then, in 2016, the entire society will collapse, and the half-billion-strong country will fall into a political coma.

- The reasons for the collapse are economical and associated with a significant outflow of capital from China. This deadly process, according to a U.S. expert, Professor Tian from a provincial University of South Carolina, will be exacerbated by the real estate market "bubbles," shadow banking system and huge debts of municipalities. This sounds exactly like the situation in the United States in 2008-2013.

- The economic collapse based on political issues will be understandably blamed on the ruling Communist Party that admitted the existence of powerful corrupt groups that ignore the interests of the country and the nation and only focus on the accumulation of wealth. The author of the article is convinced that these groups are inclined to put an end to the Communist Party rather than to follow the reforms of Xi Jinping.

- Generally, the scenario will be identical to the events in the Soviet Union of the late 1980s implemented almost literally over three years - 1988-1991. However, the Chinese have learned from the experience of the collapse of the Soviet Union and shot down this scenario in 1989, breaking up student demonstrations in Tiananmen Square in Beijing. Yes, there were victims, but the country was plunged into cannibalistic experiments with a fake democracy, preserving the unity and national identity.

- According to the predictions of Wenweipo, China will organize six wars over the next 50 years. The reason would be the accession of the territories lost in previous years since the Opium War with Britain in 1840-1842. The defeat in that war resulted, according to the newspaper, in the centennial humiliation of China, which should be stopped. A short list of these wars includes a unifying war with Taiwan in 2020-2025

- The next battle will be over the Spratly Islands with Vietnam, and possibly with the Philippines in 2025-2030. Then there will be a war with India for the return of Southern Tibet in 2035-2040. Next there will be Japan and the return of the Senkaku Islands and the Ryukyu Islands (2040-2045), followed by unification of Outer Mongolia (now MHP) in 2045-2050. And, finally, a war with Russia that since the time of the "Old China" occupied 1.6 million square kilometers of land and consequently, by the definition of the newspaper, is the worst enemy of China who after winning the previous five wars must be forced to pay.

- Cracks in the foundation or beginning of a collapse? Both. Listen, China is unlikely to collapse or unravel within a short period of time. Whatever happens will take a considerable amount of time due to massive Government interference. To see how long, we must once again look towards the US Stock Market & Economy. The bear market and recession of 2014-2017 will take 3 years to complete. During that time Chinese exports are bound to slow down even more. In addition, with anticipated credit market blow ups it is unlikely China will be able to continue to expand it’s credit at break neck speeds of the last few years. Indicating a further slowdown and a subsequent collapse.

- China’s CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300)plunged to the lowest level in five years and the yuan weakened as an unexpected drop in exports spurred concern that the world’s second-largest economy is slowing.

- The index of the largest Chinese stocks slid 3.3 percent to 2,097.79 at the close, the lowest since February 2009, while the Shanghai Composite Index tumbled 2.9 percent, the most since June. The yuan fell 0.2 percent to 6.1385 per dollar. Money-market rates slumped to a 21-month low amid speculation demand for cash is diminishing as economic growth weakens.

- Overseas shipments plunged 18.1 percent in February, compared with analysts’ median estimate for a 7.5 percent increase, as distortions from the Lunar New Year holiday made forecasting more difficult. Investors are looking for policy guidance from this month’s National People’s Congress in Beijing amid concerns over slowing growth, a flood of new share sales and geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine.

- “There’s a slew of bad news today — lousy economic data, IPOs may be restarting, the policy meeting is ending soon with no surprises and the Ukraine situation isn’t helping,” said Xu Shengjun, an analyst at Jianghai Securities Co. in Shanghai. “The market is being dragged down by all these factors, I don’t see any positive stories today.”

- Jiangxi Copper Co. led declines for material producers, slumping 5.8 percent as copper prices on the Shanghai exchange plunged by the 5 percent daily limit. China is the biggest consumer of commodities from copper to iron ore and rubber. Poly Real Estate Group Co. tumbled 4.8 percent after the developer reported a 8.4 percent drop in sales for last month. A weaker yuan is boosting dollar borrowing costs for Chinese developers already grappling with a domestic property-market crackdown and slowing sales.

- The drop in exports highlights the challenges for Premier Li Keqiang in achieving this year’s economic growth target of 7.5 percent. Li announced the goal last week at the opening of the annual meeting of the NPC, a pace unchanged from last year. Imports rose 10.1 percent from a year earlier, leaving a trade deficit of $23 billion, the biggest in two years.

- China should allow companies to default on their bonds, an external supervisor at the Bank of China said March 8. “We need to be more accepting and allow such defaults to happen,” Mei Xingbao told reporters during a meeting of the Chinese People’s Consultative Conference in Beijing. “The debtor must be responsible for his own debt. He must tell the investors that there is risk involved in the product.”

- BlackRock Inc. named Helen Zhu as head of China equities, luring the strategist away from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to increase coverage of this year’s worst-performing stock market. Zhu covered Chinese companies traded in Hong Kong and yuan-denominated stocks in the mainland as Goldman Sachs’s chief China equity strategist. She forecast in December that the Hang Seng China index would climb about 20 percent by the end of this year. It has since tumbled 16 percent and is the biggest loser among global benchmark equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg.


THIS ONE IS WHAT I DON'T LIKE THE MOST:

" Over the past decade, the Chinese took control of the most of the markets of developing countries, including a completely undeveloped in this sense Africa and the Middle East. "

The global community must respond against China's manipulation of their local economies.

The US together with Japan and EU must work together in relocating their investments from China to ASEAN and other developing countries. Treating ASEAN as one solid economic bloc will be great.


Sources:

China and Party Will Collapse by 2016, Says Hong Kong Medi
http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/232752-china-and-party-will-collapse-by-2016-says-hong-kong-media/

China will start a war, if it does not fall apart
http://english.pravda.ru/world/asia/25-10-2013/125997-china_war-0/

Is China Beginning To Collapse?
http://www.investwithalex.com/is-china-beginning-to-collapse/

Mere Xenophobia or Sinophobia?
http://z6.invisionfree.com/flipzi/index.php?showtopic=426

Danger of Doing Business In China
http://z6.invisionfree.com/flipzi/index.php?showtopic=481

China Also Abusing PH Economy
http://z6.invisionfree.com/flipzi/index.php?showtopic=400

Alfred Alexander L. Marasigan
Manila, Philippines
getflipzi@yahoo.com

http://z6.invisionfree.com/flipzi

" Sovereignty resides in the people and all government authority emanates from them!"

" People don't care what we know until they know we care."
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China's Bubble Burst; downturn of China's economy
http://w11.zetaboards.com/NDSFP/topic/10261391/
Alfred Alexander L. Marasigan
Manila, Philippines
getflipzi@yahoo.com

http://z6.invisionfree.com/flipzi

" Sovereignty resides in the people and all government authority emanates from them!"

" People don't care what we know until they know we care."
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