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| Spring Forecast 2015 | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: 28 Dec 2014, 10:49 PM (758 Views) | |
| Audi-Tek | 28 Dec 2014, 10:49 PM Post #1 |
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Edited by Audi-Tek, 26 Jan 2015, 12:47 AM.
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| Audi-Tek | 28 Dec 2014, 10:51 PM Post #2 |
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First Spring 2015 Update (28/12/14) By Gavin Partridge. Link ................ http://www.gavsweathervids.com/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 25 Jan 2015, 02:45 PM Post #3 |
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Second Spring 2015 Update (25/1/15) By Gavin Partridge. Link ...................... http://www.gavsweathervids.com/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 6 Feb 2015, 03:18 PM Post #4 |
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February And Into March With JMA Friday (6/2/15) Link ........................ http://www.gavsweathervids.com/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 15 Feb 2015, 02:20 PM Post #5 |
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CFS Six Month Look Ahead - JFF - (February 2015) By Gavin Partridge. Link .............. http://www.gavsweathervids.com/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 15 Feb 2015, 04:18 PM Post #6 |
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March 2015 : In like a Lion, Out like a Lion... Issued : Feb 15 2015 Forecast An unsettled start to the month as wet and windy weather continues to head in from the Atlantic. Hill snow is likely across Scotland and Northern England. High pressure will build in during the middle of the month with light ground frosts. However, with a stronger sun we could see some very mild, sunny weather during the middle of the month. March will end on an unsettled and cool note with rain followed by a period of widespread blustery showery weather for the end of the month. ![]() Source ..................
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| Audi-Tek | 17 Feb 2015, 08:10 PM Post #7 |
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March To May With JMA Tuesday (17/2/15) By Gavin Partridge. Link ...................... http://www.gavsweathervids.com/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 18 Feb 2015, 07:00 PM Post #8 |
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Metcheck European Spring Forecast 2015 About this page Every February our meteorologists take a little look at what kind of patterns we are expecting to develop across Europe this coming Spring. Meteorological Spring is March, April and May. Sometimes we are right, sometimes wrong and sometimes very wrong but it's all part of the fun. Our forecasters try to explain the reasoning behind the forecasts (usually unsuccessfully) but if anything it's a jolly good read and we hope it gives you a better understanding as to how the weather evolves across the continent. Important note for media and newspapers. You are not allowed to copy or reference any of Metchecks forecasts or views without our written permission under any circumstances. ![]() Overview We are expecting Spring 2015 to see a continuation of the dominance of the Azores high in the Atlantic for the first part of the season. The effect of this will be a somewhat delayed start to warmer and drier weather across many parts of Europe. Also, the Eurasian plateau is currently standing at slightly above average snowfall for the end of February. There is a well known (but not fully understood) link between late Winter Eurasian snow cover and the type of Spring/early Summer experienced across Europe. When there is more snowfall it tends to lead to a delayed start to early Summer weather which we are expecting to see again this year. Discussion For the first half of Spring the polar jet stream is expected to remain across Northern parts of Europe whilst a rather active sub tropical jet will feature across parts of Iberia and into the Med. This will bring a delayed start to Spring for Southern Europe with some storms across Central parts where low pressure will interact quickly with rapidly warming land. Eastern parts of Europe will continue to see a slow thaw from Winter with snow continuing even at lower levels during the first part of Spring. Anticyclonic weather to the West of the British Isles in the Atlantic will mean a drier start to the season but cooler with air from a more Northerly quarter. Scandinavia, however will benefit from the extension of the Azores high with a warmer and drier start to the season which could well extend into April and May also. England, Wales, Western Europe. High pressure dominated first half of the season with overnight frosts common. During the second half of Spring we will find the Azores high losing its influence on the weather across Western Europe and allow more unsettled wet and windy weather to push in from the West as the sub-tropical jet heads North. Overall : Drier and cooler start but wetter and windier than normal for second half of season. Scandinavia Overall : Extension of the Azores high will push low pressure areas to the North of Norway for much of the first half of the season. This will allow much milder air to move North whilst keeping moisture again to the North of the region. As a result, the first half of the season is expected to be drier and warmer than average. The second half could see a reversal with low pressure tracking to the South of the region allowing an increased frequency of milder air from the South or Southeast.Spain Low pressure pushing in from the Atlantic on a strengthening sub-tropical jet will bring a remarkably wet and windy start to Season for much of the Iberian peninsula. Only later in the second period are we expecting the jet to push North and allow high pressure to become more commonplace with drier and warmer weather. Central Europe Unsettled and cooler start to the season. However, the main thinking for Spring across Central Europe is that it will become a battleground of air masses between warmer air to the North and colder air to the East with moisture heading in from the West. As a result it is possible that we could see an increased frequency of localised storm systems across Central Europe where low pressure areas stagnate and interact with the warmer air. This is likely to become far more frequent towards the end of the season. Eastern Europe Colder than average start to Spring with a continuation of the cold air from Winter across many parts of the region. The thaw will be slow and gradual during the course of Spring and as a result the overall pattern is one of a colder and drier than average Spring across Eastern Europe. Link ............... https://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/european_spring_weather_forecast_2015.asp Source ..............
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| Audi-Tek | 22 Feb 2015, 06:19 PM Post #9 |
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Final Spring 2015 Forecast (22/2/15) By Gavin Partridge. Created on 22nd February 2015 this is the third of three video's looking at the possible weather in the United Kingdom during the spring of 2015. The video use's several long range numerical models and some analogues to attempt to predict the possible weather in the coming season. As with the previous two updates it seem's the consensus from the models is for a rather mixed, changeable Spring. A large temperature deviation is not expected, so temperatures overall are expected to come out close to average. Precipitation is also also expected to remain near normal with no real indication of a strong deviation from the seasonal normal. Something that comes out from both models and the analogues is that there could be quite a bit of intra-month variation. A continuous pattern is not expected through the spring, instead each month may have it's own unique pattern. April may be the the most unsettled month of the three. Some frost and snow is expected, but also some quite warm temperatures seem likely as well. With average temperatures, the cooler start to 2015, compared to 2014, should continue. Though the period does not look especially cold. So the Spring 2015 forecast from GavsWeatherVids is for average temperatures and average precipitation but plenty in month to month variation should make for an interesting season. Link ............... http://www.gavsweathervids.com/spring-2015-forecast.php |
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| Audi-Tek | 23 Feb 2015, 04:10 PM Post #10 |
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Seasonal Outlook Normal weather in April, but a better May? By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 09:00hrs 23/02/2015 *April* - Westerly flow bringing air from the Atlantic to start April - Band of rain and showers spreading east - Drier to south - Better mid month - Unsettled end *May* - Hints of a fair start - High pressure dominates - Lots of dry weather - Rain at the end of the month Link .............. http://www.weatherweb.net/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 25 Feb 2015, 10:08 PM Post #11 |
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UK Spring Weather Outlook 2015 Wednesday, February 25, 2015, 06:30 GMT - Often dry and settled through March, but then fairly cool and showery. This winter has been a particularly changeable season with plenty of wet and windy weather, but also some drier and quieter periods too. Although it has been windy at times, the last three months didn’t see the prolonged stormy conditions of last winter, with many of us seeing some snow this time around. Temperatures have been highly variable, even from day to day, with plenty of mild and cold spells over the last three months. But what does the weather have in store for us here in the UK over the next three months? Here at The Weather Network, we have spent the last few weeks compiling what we think are the prospects for the coming three months. What is normal for spring in the UK? Before looking at this year’s forecast, it’s important to get some context by looking at the weather we have seen over the last few springs. Spring is a transitional season between the cold months of winter and the warmth of summer. As such, the weather in spring can be highly variable, flipping between cold and warm in a matter of hours or days. Over the last 50 years, the spring months of March, April, May have seen a warming trend here in the UK. 4 of the last 5 springs have been warmer than the long-term average, with last spring the equal-second warmest in records dating back to 1910. However, we all remember the remarkably cold spring of 2013 when winter never seemed to end. Spring 2013 was 3C colder than spring 2014 and was the coldest such period since 1962. In contrast, the spring season has been rather dry over the last 5 years, although last spring was slightly wetter than average. Temperature Much of Europe is expected to have a warmer than normal spring, but for the UK, temperatures are forecast to be around average as a whole over the next three months. This is due to the fact that the country is likely to flip between mild and cold throughout spring. As north-westerly winds are expected to be more frequent than normal, temperatures could well be slightly below normal across western areas of the UK and Ireland. Rainfall Although March is likely to be drier than average, at least for a time, our forecasts suggest that the UK is more likely to see rainfall above average than below average between now and the end of May, mainly due to the fact that we expect unsettled and changeable conditions to dominate. We expect areas of low pressure to track slightly further south than normal, hence why southern areas of the UK are highlighted in the map below. April showers are often a key feature of spring weather and we expect that to be the case this year. However, at least with showery conditions, there should be plenty of sunshine in-between too. It should be noted that there is lower than normal confidence in our rainfall forecasts across Europe this spring and if high pressure is more dominant across the UK than expected this spring, rainfall amounts could fall below average. So, in summary... After a cool and unsettled first few days, March is expected to see fairly dry and settled weather dominate, but the rest of spring is likely to see a return to a changeable weather pattern. Temperatures are expected to be around average throughout spring, although it could be rather chilly at times, particularly across northern and western areas, with some sleet and snow over the higher ground until mid-April. Rainfall amounts are more likely to be above normal than below normal, although confidence is low and there are no signals to suggest that this spring will be a total washout. Over the next three months, The Weather Network will be updating you on the latest long-range weather forecast, including detailed monthly outlooks. Video forecast link ............ http://bcove.me/7hq7560u By .............. Chris Burton Meteorologist Link ...................... http://www.theweathernetwork.com/uk/news/articles/uk-spring-weather-outlook-2015/46029/ Source ..............
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| Audi-Tek | 27 Feb 2015, 02:24 PM Post #12 |
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Friday's Look Ahead - JMA update By Simon Keeling. Link ................ http://www.weatherweb.net/wxwebtv2.php |
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| Audi-Tek | 28 Feb 2015, 02:02 PM Post #13 |
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UK weather: March Outlook.![]() Friday, February 27, 2015, 11:01 GMT - After a chilly and showery start, a generally dry and settled month. Sunday 1 March marks the first day of meteorological spring so you might think something a little drier and warmer is on the cards for next week. While it is set to remain chilly and showery for the first few days of March, there is increasing confidence in high pressure moving in later next week. This would mean the UK would become largely dry with hopefully some sunshine at times, although it would also mean some cold and frosty nights. Throughout the rest of the month, high pressure looks set to be in charge more often than not and as such, March is forecast to be drier than average. Week 1: 1-8 March The first few days of March will continue how February ended, rather cool and showery. A brisk west to north-westerly wind will be a feature of the weather until at least Wednesday, feeding in frequent showers to northern and western areas, these wintry on the high ground and to lower levels in the north. Southern and eastern parts will see the driest and brightest conditions, but even here a few showers are possible, particularly through Wednesday. During the second half of the week, high pressure is set to move in to give a more settled spell of weather to the country. It should therefore become largely dry with some sunshine, although widespread overnight frosts will be a common feature. The exact position of the high will also determine weather we get a mild south-westerly wind, or a chilly easterly one and some weak fronts could topple over the high to give some brief wet spells. Week 2: 9-15 March There are signs that through the second week of March, high pressure will become even more dominant across the UK. Therefore it should be largely dry and settled through this week with spells of sunshine. Depending on the exact position of the high, temperatures could climb into double figures by day, making it feel spring-like in the sunshine. But overnight, with clear skies, temperatures will plummet with frosts likely to be a common feature as well as some fog patches. Week 3&4: 16-31 March High pressure could well remain a common feature of the weather during the second half of March, continuing the dry and settled theme. While some Atlantic weather systems could briefly move in to give some rain at times, any prolonged spells of wet weather are unlikely with any considerable rain expected to be confined to north-western areas. Temperatures on the whole are likely to be around average by day, but cold overnight and frosts will be common. Overall, March is likely to be a fairly dry month with high pressure dominating the UK’s weather. Temperatures are likely to be around average for the time of year, although nights will often be cold and frosty. By ............. Chris Burton,Meteorologist Link ............... http://www.theweathernetwork.com/uk/news/articles/uk-weather/uk-weather-march-outlook/46262/ Source ...............
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| Audi-Tek | 2 Mar 2015, 05:01 PM Post #14 |
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March 2015 Month Ahead Forecast By Gavin Partridge. Link .................. http://www.gavsweathervids.com/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 2 Mar 2015, 07:41 PM Post #15 |
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Monday's Look Ahead - MJO wheel of fortune By Simon Keeling. Published on Mar 2, 2015 Weather forecast for this week and the rest of March. The MJO transitions through several phases, although the emphasis remains on dry and warm weather. Link .............. http://www.weatherweb.net/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 3 Mar 2015, 08:05 PM Post #16 |
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Spring 2015 Updated March 3rd 2015 After a mixed bag of a winter, the sunniest on record with all three months milder than average but February only marginally so, Spring has started in similar style with a cold start followed by a milder spell, but will it continue in this vein? For a forecast for the next 4 weeks, please take a look at the monthly forecast. April No particularly strong signals exist for April, but with pressure shown to be slightly above average for the UK (with a stronger signal for above average pressure over Europe), a close to, or slightly drier than average month is currently forecast for England, Wales, Northern and Southern Ireland, along with the south of Scotland. Further north and a slightly wetter than average month is expected. Temperatures are forecast to widely be close to, or a little milder than average. April Air Pressure ![]() April Rainfall ![]() April Temperature ![]() May Into May and the forecasting model currently suggests that pressure will be slightly below normal which means a wetter than average month coupled with average temperatures. May Air Pressure ![]() May Rainfall ![]() May Temperature ![]() This long range forecast for the UK is updated once a month. Using the latest long range data from the NCEP and then run through custom software here at Netweather it is on the cutting edge of technology for long range weather forecasting. It is important to bear in mind that forecasting at this range is still in its infancy so can effectively be considered experimental. Link ...................... http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess= Source ................
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| Audi-Tek | 3 Mar 2015, 08:12 PM Post #17 |
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Monthly weather forecast for the UK Updated 2nd March Covering the period 9th March - 31st March Overview Dry, sunny except in the north-west and south-east, high pressure dominating Temperatures will generally be about 0.5C above the 1981-2010 average, but south-east England and East Anglia will be close to or fractionally below the average, while most of Scotland, especially the northeast, will be 1 to 2C above average. Rainfall totals will be below normal in all parts of the British Isles with England and Wales and eastern Scotland likely to be particularly dry, while in western Scotland rainfall will only be slightly below normal. Sunshine totals will be above the long-term average in most parts of the British Isles, but East Anglia and south-east England will just have close to average sunshine, as will Northern Ireland and western and northern parts of Scotland. Northern England is likely to have a very sunny month. ![]() ![]() Weekly Breakdown Monday 9th March - Sunday 15th March High pressure will dominate the weather for most of this week, resulting in mostly dry and sunny conditions for most of the country, with warm days offset by cool nights, though due to frequent southerly and south-westerly winds, temperatures are expected to be above the seasonal average overall. Between the 9th and 12th highest pressure is expected to lie over central Europe which means that most of England will be dry and sunny, although patchy low cloud and fog will form overnight and will locally be quite slow to clear. Eastern and southern England will generally be sunniest. However, there may be plenty of cloud around the Irish Sea, in Northern Ireland generally, and in most parts of Scotland, although sheltered eastern parts of Scotland are likely to be quite sunny. Rain will sometimes affect Northern Ireland and the west and north of Scotland. Between the 13th and 15th a weakening belt of rain will move erratically south-eastwards but rainfall amounts in eastern and central England are likely to be small and possibly non-existent. High pressure will rebuild behind the frontal system, and thus the north-western districts that will have a cloudy first half of the week should have at least two dry sunny days behind the rain belt. Conversely the east and south of the country will turn cloudier for a time, but by the 15th it will generally be sunny and dry again. Temperatures will generally be 1C above the 1981-2010 average, although eastern Scotland may see positive deviations nearer 2C. For most of the country the positive anomaly will arise mainly due to high daytime maxima, and nights will often be chilly with some frost, especially inland, but in the west and north of Scotland and in Northern Ireland, positive deviations are likely to be larger by night than by day. Rainfall totals will be below average except in north-west Scotland where they will be near or slightly above average. Sunshine totals will be below average in Northern Ireland and in western Scotland and Cumbria, and close to average in other parts of north-west England and in north and west Wales. Elsewhere this period is expected to be sunnier than average. Monday 16th March - Sunday 22nd March High pressure will continue to dominate the weather for most of this period, but the high will be centred further north than before and as a result temperatures are more likely to be close to the seasonal average, rather than above average. Rainfall is expected to be below average in all parts of the British Isles. Sunshine totals will mostly be above average except near windward coasts, with the north and west of Scotland, together with East Anglia and south-east England, most likely to have near or slightly below average sunshine. Northern and central parts of England are likely to be particularly sunny. Warm days will generally be offset by cool nights, although most of Scotland is likely to be warmer than average and south-east England may be a little cooler than average overall. Link ............. http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=monthly;sess= Source ...............
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| Audi-Tek | 7 Mar 2015, 03:33 PM Post #18 |
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Month Ahead A wetter end to March, but mild overall By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 09:00hrs 07/03/2015 Temperature: x Weather: Broken cloud THIS FORECAST IS A BRIEF EXTRACT FROM OUR DAILY UPDATED MONTHLY GUIDANCE. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT BECOMING A PRIVATE CLIENT AND RECEIVING REGULAR UPDATES USE THE 'CONTACT US' OPTION ABOVE High pressure during the first part of the forecast brings dry weather for many, although risk of rain in the south. During the final third of March conditions are likely to be turning more unsettled, especially in the north, but always a tendency towards drier weather in the far south. Early April should see a broader improvement, but still some rain at times. *14/3/15 - 20/3/15* A large area of high pressure to the east of the country is going to be in control of the weather. This is likely to be bringing plenty of dry weather, although with lower pressure passing through France there is the threat of some rain in the far south at times. The easterly breeze is likely to be strong in the south too, making it feel cool at times. *21/3/15 - 27/3/15* Indications are that the area of high pressure persists early in the week, continuing the drier conditions, and keeping it fairly mild. However, later in the west the flow is going to be turning back to a west to southwesterly and this then brings more unsettled, changeable weather, especially to the north and west. Drier across southern England where a ridge of high pressure may persist. *28/3/15 - 3/4/15* Current thoughts are that the flow tends to stay more westerly to start the week. This brings further periods of rain, most in the north and west, but with a tendency for all to see the potential for precipitation. Temperatures near or just above normal. By the end of the week an improvement is likely, becoming drier for many, although still with the risk of rain in northern Scotland. *4/4/15 - 10/4/15 A weak of high pressure may build through the UK and Ireland this week. This brings an indication of drier weather for most, although not completely dry as fronts traverse eastwards. Most rain for Scotland, but some reasonable dry days elsewhere, and staying mild. ![]() Source ............. http://www.weatherweb.net/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 10 Mar 2015, 04:46 PM Post #19 |
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Spring 2015 and early Summer 2015 weather forecast By By UKWF - March 10, 2015.![]() Spring 2015 forecast and Early Summer 2015 weather forecast OVERVIEW: The spring and early summer period across the UK can often be a period of contrasting conditions. Through March and April in particular the weather can often quickly alternate between some spring warmth, fine and settled conditions, but equally a late taste of winter is also possible as well. May, on average, is quite a dry month across the UK with usually May being the first month of the year that some particularly high temperatures can be achieved and this trend often continues into the first summer month that is June. FORECAST: At this early stage of the spring there are signs for the expected weather through the majority of March and that is for high pressure to be quite an influential feature of the weather. Longer range forecast models and charts all highlight high pressure dominating the weather for a period of time through the middle of March before a potential change to more changeable and unsettled conditions by the end of the month and into early April. The recent GFS model highlights this evolution quite well with high pressure dominant across the UK by the 20th of March for example and with it stretching up towards the north-east of the UK too. ![]() When looking at the medium and longer term there are various signs and signals that can be used and one important variable is the MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation). This variable is connected to the development of thunderstorms and large scale variability of weather within the tropical regions of the world (tropical Pacific and Atlantic) and because it is such a large and dominant feature through the tropics it can influence the weather across other areas of the world. Knowing what phases the MJO will progress into can give an idea as to the expected weather in the coming weeks and months. Importantly at the moment there is a strong signal from the various forecast models for the MJO to move into a phase 7 state, this is highlighted well on the below images. Note how the forecast models (the yellow lines on the image on the right) takes the MJO into phase 7 approximately within the next 5 to 7 days and even goes off the scale indicating a significant MJO ‘event’. Each phase of the MJO equates to potentially different weather patterns across the UK and Europe, and the northern hemisphere. When the MJO moves into a phase 7 during March then high pressure is a possibility either over or just to the north-east of the UK and this is highlighted by the green and yellow colours on the left hand image below. The blue colours on the image below are denoting areas of low pressure, whilst the green and yellow areas highlight higher pressure. So, as can be clearly seen high pressure is dominant over and just to the east of the UK. Clearly this is just one piece of the puzzle, but this gives support to the earlier discussed GFS model which highlights high pressure as we continue to progress through March. ![]() In summary, looking at March as a whole a sustained period of fine and settled conditions is expected throughout the middle and latter half of the month leading to some potentially fine and settled conditions with bright or sunny spells, but perhaps chilly nights. Clearly after such a prolonged spell of fine and settled conditions eventually you would surmise that the high pressure will decline and the natural progression and change in the weather would be towards more unsettled conditions. That, as a result, is what is currently expected into early April with a likely progression towards rather ‘typical’ early April weather with sunshine and showers interspersed with some warmer and drier days as well. LONGER TERM: As we continue to progress through April and into May and then also into early summer (June) the natural progression is for conditions across the UK to improve steadily with temperatures slowly on the rise as the sun grows stronger and we progress towards the longest day. At this present time a generally typical and average period of weather is the preferred option through the rest of April, May and into June which means that April and May is likely to experience some spells of wet and windy weather at times, with cool temperatures, but equally drier and warmer conditions are possible at times too. This scenario is most likely during May when a period of warm or very warm conditions may temporarily develop during the middle and latter half of the month. Clearly June is still a long way away in meteorological terms in particular, so it is difficult to judge how early summer will progress. However, at this early stage it would seem that quite an ‘average’ UK summer is likely this year which means that despite some spells of summer weather with sunshine and warmth, equally there could well be some persistent spells of wet weather at times too with heavy downpours and thunderstorms. A prolonged hot and sunny summer in terms of prolonged heat and dry conditions seems distinctly unlikely this year due to various background signs and signals and also some longer range seasonal models as well. As ever we’ll keep you updated in the coming weeks and months and we’ll take a closer look at what summer may bring as we progress further into spring. Link ....................... http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/spring-2015-summer-2015-weather-forecast/#sthash.CTm8GpRK.dpuf Source .....................
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| Audi-Tek | 17 Mar 2015, 10:43 PM Post #20 |
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UK Long range weather forecast and trends Tuesday 17th March to Monday 13th April 2015 Summary Predominantly fine and settled conditions within the short term will continue. However, there remains quite a consistent signal from the medium and longer range models for far more unsettled conditions to develop during the final week of March and into early April. This, as a result, will signal some particularly wet weather to end the month after dry weather within the short term. Temperatures are likely to be near to average overall but temporarily becoming slightly below average, especially in association with any wet and windy weather. Average Mean Temperature for the Forecast Period: 10C WEEK 1 (17th to 23rd Mar): Summary: Generally remaining fine and settled, though perhaps becoming more unsettled late in the week. Temperatures: Temperatures, overall, are likely to be near average so feeling pleasant in any sunshine but equally nights are likely to be cold still with some frost certainly possible at times and both early and late each day will be quite cold as well. Rainfall: Precipitation totals overall are forecast to remain slightly below or below average given that high pressure is likely to remain an influential feature of the weather. Confidence: Confidence is high to suggest that further fine and settled conditions will dominate through this week as we progress beyond mid-March with some early spring weather possible as high pressure remains the dominant feature of the weather. WEEK 2 (24th to 30th Mar): Summary: Generally becoming more unsettled and potentially colder. Temperatures: Temperatures are forecast to be near to average, perhaps trending slightly below average a little with some frost possible at times. Rainfall: Given a progression towards more unsettled conditions then rainfall totals are forecast to recover back to nearer average after the potentially dry or very dry weather in the previous week. Some wintry precipitation is possible but generally only on high ground. Confidence: Confidence is medium to high to suggest that after a prolonged period of fine and settled conditions in previous weeks, the end of March is likely to become more unsettled and somewhat colder as high pressure is replaced by low pressure and more unsettled weather. WEEK 3 (31st Mar to 6th Apr): Summary: A generally unsettled regime is likely to continue but with perhaps drier and brighter weather at times. Temperatures: Temperatures are forecast to be near to average overall to end March and move into the opening week of April which will signal the risk of some frost and it will be quite cool, especially given unsettled conditions. Rainfall: Rainfall totals are forecast to be near or trending slightly above average for early April given that there is a clear signal for low pressure to be influential and hence produce a risk of rain or showers at times through the week. Confidence: Confidence is medium to suggest that rather unsettled conditions are likely to continue as we move into early April with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with some drier and brighter conditions at times. WEEK 4 (7th to 13th Apr): Summary: Changeable and rather mixed conditions towards mid-April. Temperatures: Temperatures, at the moment, are forecast to be generally near to average for early to mid-April which will signal some warmer days, but equally some colder days are still possible as well, especially when the weather is more unsettled, wet and windy. Rainfall: Given that low pressure is still forecast to be influential then precipitation totals, at the moment, are expected to be around average for the time of year with some wet weather but equally with some drier intervals at times too. Confidence: Confidence is low to medium to suggest that early to mid-April will maintain quite ‘average’ conditions for the time of year with low pressure and unsettled conditions often dominant, but with some drier and brighter weather possible at times. Link .............. http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/long-range-weather/#sthash.iLvEKHG7.dpuf Source .............
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| Audi-Tek | 22 Mar 2015, 06:55 PM Post #21 |
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Look Ahead - April to June Forecast By Simon Keeling. Link ................ http://www.weatherweb.net/wxwebtv2.php |
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| Audi-Tek | 31 Mar 2015, 08:12 PM Post #22 |
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Month Ahead An April of two halves By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 09:00hrs 31/03/2015 High pressure during the first part of the forecast brings dry weather for many, although risk of rain in the south. During the final third of March conditions are likely to be turning more unsettled, especially in the north, but always a tendency towards drier weather in the far south. Early April should see a broader improvement, but still some rain at times. *4/4/15 - 10/4/15* High pressure is expected to be building this week. This is going to be bringing a fair amount of dry weather for most, with the best sunshine in the west. Always a tendency for more cloud to the east. Feeling milder in the west, but cool to the east. *11/4/15 - 17/4/15* A breakdown is expected to take place this week as high pressure fades away. It is likely to that the east will be cold at times, although the west may be a little milder. More persistent rain spreading into the west as the week progresses. *18/4/15 - 24/4/15* A changeable week with low pressure bringing cloud and rain, most to the north. More southern areas may be drier overall with higher pressure edging in at times. An overall deterioration later in the week as the winds become more northwesterly and it becomes colder with rain or showers. Winds may reach gale force. *25/4/15 - 1/5/15 A wet and windy start to the week. The jet stream, bringing strong winds and a risk of heavy rain at times. Possibly turning drier and warmer for the Bank Holiday weekend. ![]() Link ............... http://www.weatherweb.net/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 10 Apr 2015, 03:46 PM Post #23 |
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Friday's Look Ahead - Japanese & Chinese agreement By Dr Simon Keeling. Link ............. http://www.weatherweb.net/ |
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| Audi-Tek | 17 Apr 2015, 01:35 PM Post #24 |
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Friday's Look Ahead - April/May Update By Simon Keeling. 17/04/15 Link ................ http://www.weatherweb.net/wxwebtv2.php |
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| Audi-Tek | 20 Apr 2015, 04:19 PM Post #25 |
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Issued : Apr 20 2015 Forecast for May. A distinct month of two halves expected for this May. The first half of the month will be dominated by a large upper trough across the UK bringing wet and windy weather with frequent showers and longer spells of rain. Cooler too with some hill snow across Scottish mountains. A change for the second half of the month as high pressure builds in across the UK bringing dry, fine and sunny weather to many areas with temperatures above average across the Southern half of the UK. ![]() Link .............. http://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/next_month_forecast.asp Source ............
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