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UK Long Range Weather Forecast.
Topic Started: 28 Apr 2015, 05:37 PM (93 Views)
Audi-Tek
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UK Long Range Weather Forecast

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Our Long Range Forecast is here to provide you with an idea as to the expected weather within the longer term across the UK in general. As you can appreciate weather forecasting is not an exact science and the further one progresses away from present day then confidence in the expected weather decreases accordingly. However, using longer range forecasting techniques and information the below forecast will provide a good guide as to the expected weather and possible trends in temperatures and rainfall throughout the next 3 to 4 weeks.

Longer Term Forecast and Trends

Tuesday 28th April to Monday 25th May 2015

Summary

Cool and unsettled weather is expected within the short term as we end April and move into early May with temperatures generally trending slightly below average but with rainfall trending slightly above or even above average perhaps at times. As May progresses there are some signs for an improvement in conditions towards the middle of month with drier, brighter and warmer conditions potentially developing at that stage, before an uncertain outlook is present long term later in May, but with generally ‘average’ conditions preferred at the moment.

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Average Mean Temperature for the Forecast Period: 14C

WEEK 1 (28th Apr to 4th May):

Summary: Changeable conditions expected to end April and start May.

Temperatures: Current indications are for temperatures to generally be slightly below average overall through the week with a risk of some frost at times, especially up to the 1st before somewhat milder weather develops thereafter.

Rainfall: Rainfall totals are likely to be near or slightly above average for late April and early May with some wet weather certainly possible at times, but equally some drier and brighter days certainly seem possible too.

Confidence: Confidence is high for the end of April and early May to produce quite changeable conditions, but overall with low pressure bringing further spells of rain and showers at times, despite some drier and brighter intervals. Confidence is high for temperatures to be slightly below average overall in what will be quite a chilly week, generally, for the time of year.



WEEK 2 (5th to 11th May):

Summary: Remaining changeable with further unsettled conditions at times, but perhaps becoming drier and brighter later in the week.

Temperatures: Temperatures are forecast to be near to average overall through this week which will signal somewhat warmer conditions than compared with the previous week at times.

Rainfall: Rainfall totals are currently forecast to be near or slightly above average as further rain and showers develop at times but perhaps with a trend towards somewhat drier and brighter conditions later in the week.

Confidence: Confidence is medium to high to suggest that further changeable conditions will dominate through this week with spells of rain and showers at times interspersed with some drier and brighter conditions and with perhaps a more pronounced trend towards drier and settled conditions later in the week



WEEK 3 (12th to 18th May):

Summary: Potentially drier and warmer but still with some rain or showers at times.

Temperatures: Temperatures are likely to recover to nearer average through the middle of May with some warmer weather at times but there’s little evidence to point towards any significant warm or hot weather at the moment.

Rainfall: Rainfall totals may well become slightly below average through this week given a signal for high pressure and more settled conditions to dominate despite some rain and showers at times, so a generally drier than average week is currently preferred.

Confidence: Confidence is medium at the moment given the time frame involved, for this week to see somewhat of an improvement in conditions than compared with the previous week for example as high pressure potentially brings a more settled and warmer period of weather around the middle of the month.



WEEK 4 (19th to 25th May):

Summary: Average conditions to end May, drier and brighter at times, but with some rain and showers too.

Temperatures: At the moment temperatures are forecast to be around average during the latter half of May which will lead to some warmer weather at times, but with little evidence, at this stage, to signal any very warm or hot weather.

Rainfall: Rainfall totals are likely to be near to average for late May given that some rain and showers are possible, but equally drier and brighter days are probable too.

Confidence: Confidence is low at the moment given a lack for any specific weather type to develop later in May, but with current expectations for the weather to be quite average for the time of year. This, as a result, would lead to some warm and dry weather at times, but some rain and showers can’t be ruled out either.



Link ............... http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/long-range-weather/



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