Welcome Guest [Log In] [Register]
Welcome to Natural Hazards Forum. We hope you enjoy your visit.


You're currently viewing our forum as a guest. This means you are limited to certain areas of the board and there are some features you can't use. If you join our community, you'll be able to access member-only sections, and use many member-only features such as customizing your profile, sending personal messages, and voting in polls. Registration is simple, fast, and completely free.


Join our community!


If you're already a member please log in to your account to access all of our features:

Username:   Password:
Add Reply
Uk Outlook For Next 48 Hours
Topic Started: 16 May 2012, 10:03 PM (30 Views)
Audi-Tek
Member Avatar

UK OUTLOOK FOR NEXT 48 HOURS



The next Atlantic low will spread rain across much of Ireland, Scotland and the north of England tonight lasting through Thursday and even Friday while the southern half of England and Wales should get away with just an odd shower but it won't be particularly sunny nor warm. Temps won't be anything to write home about over the next few days thanks to the persistent trough and feed of cool air out of the northwest.


Posted Image

UNSEASONABLY COLD WITH SNOW FOR HEART OF EUROPE

As for central Europe. The same trough drawing air out of Greenland and Iceland across the UK is flowing down across France and driving all the way down into the central Mediterannean where unusually chilly air dominates much of the heart of Europe. Temps across parts of Croatia, Slovenia into Bosnia and Serbia are struggling to hit 10C by day with cold winds, cloud, low level rains and snows above 700 to 1000m to make matters worse. The past several days including today has seen yet more heavy snow. Very rare for so late and given average temps by now should be near 30C.

While central Europe shivers, we see heat continue to ride around the trough and flow north up into Russia where Moscow day after day enjoys temps well into the 20s C. On the other side of the trough, Spain of course has seen southern areas reach 37C (100F) while it's reached 90F in Madrid for a week now.

Change looms as a trough will replace the Iberian heat with cool air and a return to unsettled conditions seen back last month.

SPAIN COOLS WHILE A WARMUP LOOMS FOR THE VERY ARE4AS FEELING THE UNUSUAL CHILL

By this weekend and especially into early next week, ridging and warmer air replaces troughiness and chill across the heart of the continent. So Germany, Poland down into the Balkans should warm up considerably but the next 48 hours does look to remain unsettled with a persistent and lingering upper low but once the UK trough drives south rather than southeast (deflected by the Iberian ridge) this kicks the ridge over Spain eastwards into the very areas seeing the chill and eventually the upper low spinning at the base of the trough and centred over the Balkans bringing snows to the mountains of Serbia, Bosnia, Croatia and Slovenia should migrate east through Greece and eventually Turkey opening the door to warmth.

MOSCOW MAY HEAT UP FURTHER WITH POTENTIALLY 30S C BY WEDNESDAY ONWARDS

If the ECMWF is anything to go by, it appears intense heat building over Libya into Eqypt works north and sends very warm air up into Moscow by mid to late next week. and also shows ridging trying to work north again into Spain but this time, despite a linger cold upper low just north of Scotland, we may see some decent warmth spread up into southern England by the end of next week into next weekend. Too far out to depend upon this but well worth keeping a close eye on.



Source ............... http://markvoganweather.blogspot.com/p/uk-europe.html
Offline Profile Quote Post Goto Top
 
1 user reading this topic (1 Guest and 0 Anonymous)
« Previous Topic · Forecasting Model Discussion · Next Topic »
Add Reply

Skin by OverTheBelow