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| Series Of Fronts To Keep Ireland & UK Unsettled/Cool Into Next Week, Could Be Stormy In Places Late Thursday | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: 5 Jun 2012, 10:01 PM (22 Views) | |
| Audi-Tek | 5 Jun 2012, 10:01 PM Post #1 |
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Series Of Fronts To Keep Ireland & UK Unsettled/Cool Into Next Week, Could Be Stormy In Places Late Thursday ![]() This GFS surface pressure chart for late Thursday shows a 984mb low positioned Ireland's south coast. Heavy rains, coastal gales is likely! (Image courtesy of MeteoGroup) After a pleasant and warm feeling day with decent spells of sunshine, the rains are here in Central Scotland and across many areas thanks to the arrival of the next front. The next few days will see one large low, sprawlled out over the North Atlantic become elongated underneath a powerful Greenland high. The stretching out of this huge low into multiple centres will feed persistently active fronts across Ireland and the UK over the next 72-114hrs. Thursday will see the evolution of this energy bungle into one powerful storm between the Azores and Ireland, this may be a trouble maker by the time we get to late Thursday following a rash of heavy, thundery showers Wednesday and Thursday. ![]() By Sunday, the GFS shows a stretched out complex of lows which will keep showers and storms overhead (Courtesy of MeteoGroup) Through the day Thursday that organising singular low pressure centre will form and push northeastwards from the Azores towards Ireland. This deepening low which the GFS has a pressure falling to 984mb should be centered near or on the south coast of Ireland later Thursday the south coast of Ireland later Thursday, not only bringing heavy pulses of rain but also strong northwest winds around it’s west and south side. I expect coastal gales with perhaps gale-force gusts across inland areas of western, southern Ireland as well as western and southern Britain. ![]() Here is the average 10 metre wind speed forecast (in knots) by the AVN, UKMET, NOGAPS by 72 hrs (Courtesy of Penn State -E-Wall) Throughout the weekend, a rash of showers and potential thunderstorms will continue within a very unstable UK/Ireland atmosphere with the core of the trough and upper low centered diectly overhead. At this time of year, very cold air aloft and warmth building through the day at the surface isn’t a good combination, this wll allow strong embedded cell development which could bring localised flooding, damaging wind gusts and even hail. Unfortunately I think this Atlantic driven pattern will continue throughout much of the next 10 days before we see recovery of the NAO from the depth of negative. I’m going for a flip and return to western warmth between June 15-20 which may last through most of the last days before we see another flip back. It’s gonna be that kinda summer. Video link ........ http://youtu.be/G1EcCFH80Ac Source ............. http://www.markvoganweather.com/europe/2012/06/05/1755/ |
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8:17 PM Jul 11