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Challenge 4
Topic Started: Oct 8 2012, 08:19:47 PM (287 Views)
Nazgul
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So... We should all share our lists so we have as much info as possible. Remember the players voted LEAST THREATENING are worth the MOST.

Also - mods - how/where do we choose and in what orders?
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Aragorn
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Blues already lost this game
Definitely pool our lists. Every tribe has 1/3 of the average, so we can get a rough estimate. Also, this challenge is lame. Just for the record, it is a random "Who do you say is the worst and best players?" Tribe swap in reverse order would have been far funnier.
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Nazgul
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Ok here's mine (just FYI I figured this was the challenge so I made my list VERY HEAVILY based off the scores in the 1st challenge as that was a challenge where we could compare everyone - I didn't think of looking at post counts until just now but I don't know if most people would or not).

1 Merry
2 Radagast
3 Tom Bombadil
4 Faramir
5 Pippin
6 Treebeard
7 Gollum
8 Galadriel
9 Aragorn
10 Legolas
11 Halbarad
12 Gothmog
13 Haldir
14 Boromir
15 Sam
16 Shadowfax
17 Wormtongue

^^ worth more

(Just a reminder - most of the rankings are based off challenge 1 and how people scored cuz I wanted to match what people are most likely to think - this in no way represents my ideal ranking of everyone).
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Shadowfax
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Shut up woman get on my horse
1 Faramir
2 Tom Bombadil
3 Merry
4 Boromir
5 Pippin
6 Legolas
7 Halbarad
8 Sam
9 Gollum
10 Galadriel
11 Nazgul
12 Aragorn
13 Radagast
14 Haldir
15 Gothmog
16 Treebeard
17 Wormtongue

I put the players I never heard of at the bottom, then you guys, then mixed up the rest.
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Shadowfax
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Shut up woman get on my horse
4 Merry
5 Faramir
5 Tom Bombadil
7 Halbarad
10 Pippin
11 Nazgul
15 Radagast
16 Shadowfax
16 Legolas
16 Gollum
18 Boromir
18 Galadriel
21 Aragorn
23 Sam
24 Treebeard
27 Haldir
27 Gothmog
34 Wormtongue
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Gothmog
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They don’t think it be like it is, but it do
Highest threat
Haldir
Gollum
Galadriel
Legolas
Shadowfax
Boromir
Halbarad
Faramir
Nazgul
Aragorn
Sam
Radagast
Treebeard
Tom Bombadil
Merry
Wormtongue
Pippin
Lowest threat

I figured this would be a guessing game of some sorts based on rankings so I random.org'd my rankings. Remember that we want the LEAST threats here, so Wormtongue should probably go first based on the current data.
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Radagast
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#1: Tom Bombadil
#2: Gollum
#3: Galadriel
#4: Merry
#5: Aragorn
#6: Shadowfax
#7: Faramir
#8: Pippin
#9: Nazgul
#10: Legolas
#11: Boromir
#12: Halbarad
#13: Gothmog
#14: Sam
#15: Treebeard
#16: Haldir
#17: Wormtounge

#1 is highest threat.
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Shadowfax
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Shut up woman get on my horse
20 Faramir
20 Tom Bombadil
20 Gollum
23 Merry
24 Galadriel
26 Halbarad
27 Radagast
27 Shadowfax
29 Nazgul
30 Legolas
35 Pippin
35 Boromir
36 Aragorn
40 Gothmog
44 Haldir
48 Sam
52 Treebeard
57 Wormtongue
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Radagast
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It looks like one of our safest first claims will be Treebeard or Sam, since I have a feeling one of the other two tribes will claim Wormtounge.

Actually, us going last is good, we can see who the other tribes claim and who they think is lowest. If they're claiming people like Pippin or Boromir, we can figure they have much more skewed lists than ours.
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Nazgul
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We technically want to give each of us 9 points because in each of our reveals we do not rank ourselves. For example, after all six of us reveal; we will have six scores for each of our opponents, but for each of US, we will only have five scores. The average score to receive is 9, so I say we give each of us 9 additional points when calculating this list so that the list isn't skewed from our 'perspective'.

Out of curiosity - did anyone else *try* to make their list purposely off of either # of posts, or Challenge 1? Or was it mostly based on 'who you've heard from the most'? This is technically the only reason I put Tom so high, because I heard from him so much that I thought him a high enough threat.
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Nazgul
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And now I'm going to go watch LORD OF THE RINGS - yall ever heard of it? I heard it's really good ;-).

(Also, thinking about it - instead of adding 9 to all of our scores, we should divide the final scores of all our opponents by 6, and divide all of our scores by 5 - this may seem weird but it makes perfect sense mathematically).
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Haldir
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Here's my list:

1 Merry
2 Tom Bombadil
3 Boromir
4 Faramir
5 Legolas
6 Halbarad
7 Radagast
8 Galadriel
9 Aragorn
10 Gothmog
11 Pippin
12 Sam
13 Shadowfax
14 Nazgul
15 Gollum
16 Treebeard
17 Wormtongue

That makes the cumulative:

22 Tom Bombadil
24 Faramir
24 Merry
32 Galadriel
32 Halbarad
34 Radagast
35 Gollum
35 Legolas
38 Boromir
40 Shadowfax
43 Nazgul
44 Haldir
46 Pippin
45 Aragorn
50 Gothmog
60 Sam
68 Treebeard
74 Wormtongue
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Haldir
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If nobody has any qualms, I'll choose Wormtongue or Treebeard after the Guardians of Elessar have chosen.

I've just tricked Anduin into choosing me. Let's hope that was a gambit worth playing.
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Gothmog
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They don’t think it be like it is, but it do
I'd go with Wormtongue. Make sure a mod answers my question first, as it is important to our chance in this challenge.
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Nazgul
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Choose Wormy for sure. ^_^
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Nazgul
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So... I think it's vital we have aragorns info as well. We don't need to rush into our choices. Should we choose Worm for our first choice then use our 12 hours to wait for our second choice to calculate Aragorns info as well?
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Nazgul
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I personally vote Sam as our second choice ...

Treebeard did well first challenge and has actively posted during every challenge.

Sam performed awful first challenge and has been absent the other challenges.

More specifically- I think green will know this as well and all have ranked Tree higher than Sam. I have zero clue why so many of you ranked Tree low when he's been active. :-P

Either way: let's wait for Aragorn and then ill let someone else decide our second pick. XD
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Haldir
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That's solid, Nazgul. Good observation.
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Haldir
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I'm ready to claim next, does anybody have any other observations?
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Haldir
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Actually, I can't stick around forever; I'll just claim Sam now.
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