| Week 33: Predict the Future! (and Gamefaqs Scavenger Hunt) | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Jan 18 2015, 07:55 PM (721 Views) | |
| Kefiroth | Jan 18 2015, 07:55 PM Post #1 |
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Rebel Challenge before Overlord. That's interesting. Edited by Kefiroth, Jan 18 2015, 08:10 PM.
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| Kefiroth | Jan 18 2015, 08:05 PM Post #2 |
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I don't have much time tonight to work on figuring out reasonable ranges for most of these answers (which is okay, because there are several here who can do that much better than I could). Here's a link for recently sold listings of Marth Amiibos that may help for #4: http://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_from=R40&_sacat=0&_nkw=Marth+Amiibo&LH_Complete=1&LH_Sold=1&rt=nc Edited by Kefiroth, Jan 18 2015, 08:06 PM.
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 18 2015, 10:14 PM Post #3 |
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This challenge (and the fact it's a Rebel challenge) is interesting, and Scorpio has the distinct advantage because they can do a 4 submission spread whereas we can only do three (edit: I'm stupid; this is rebel, so we can do 4v4). I think on some level Machete screwed Gemini here, but it's not blatant enough that I'm particularly upset. We can probably still win this somehow.. if someone has good intuition on each of these questions. Edited by Dreamwalker, Jan 19 2015, 12:13 AM.
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 18 2015, 11:23 PM Post #4 |
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Huh, for some reason I thought that since the rule change you could be Rebel twice in a row. Oh well, nap time then. |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 19 2015, 12:12 AM Post #5 |
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Oh.... sorry, I'm mixing and matching. Yes, you can be Rebel twice in-a-row. (inb4 we lose because Baruch went to sleep early, thinking he doesn't need to do anything) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 19 2015, 02:26 PM Post #6 |
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Guess I'll start with 8, seeing how oil is my thing. 8. Supposing the fall from the last 3 months continues at a stable rate, I'd say somewhere around 1.80. Maybe we should do 1.78/1.80/1.82/1.84? 1. According to WayBackMachine it was 87% on September, 91% 11 days ago and 91% today. So I guess it's safe to say it will stay there. 2. Game releases in an hour, we can wait 10ish hours for the first reviews. 3. 22nd will be Thursday. 15/01: 22364 08/01: 14841 (was a best of, doesn't count) 01/01 and 25/01 (Christmas, don't count) 18/12: 30649 (best of) 12/11: 20738 12/04: 26961 11/27 (Thanksgiving) 11/22: 27234 11/15: 23990 ...You get the idea. Somewhere around 24k. 5. After 24 hours it has 3M. I remember AngryJoe saying a video gets 60% of its views the first day, then it trickles down. But this is viral so it could be wrong. 6M? 6. lolmuricansports 7. lolmuricantvshows 9. Right now there are 1760, which is around the same hour (and far from the purge monster eating time). I'd say around the same. |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 19 2015, 03:19 PM Post #7 |
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Also I'll be on my phone near the deadline, so I'd appreciate something copypasteable when our answers are decided please. |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 19 2015, 04:28 PM Post #8 |
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I just saw a video of Citizens of Earth and it feels like an Earthbound sequel. Pretty sure ratings will be high. |
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| Kefiroth | Jan 19 2015, 06:10 PM Post #9 |
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Here are a few stats that may or may not be helpful: Charlotte Hornets' and Miami Heat's average points per game and opponent's points per game this season: (source: http://www.basketball-reference.com/) Charlotte: 95.5 Pts/G 98.2 Opp Pts/G Miami: 93.5 Pts/G 97.2 Opp Pts/G --- According to http://www.j-archive.com/listseasons.php, the average total cash winnings of the daily champion over the past 5 seasons is $20,145. (I am still in shock, but thankful, that someone actually maintains such an elaborate archive of Jeopardy...) |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 19 2015, 07:16 PM Post #10 |
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I've been at work awhile, but I'll see what I can do after I get home. We really need to win these early comps against Scorpio (well, and the late comps against Scorpio too) in order to not squander our F4 Gemini opportunity. inb4 "we" |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 19 2015, 07:49 PM Post #11 |
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This isn't really relevant to the challenge and I can't remember if I knew this before or not, but apparently Shock was the fake Baruch. I'd copy/paste the Steam convo where he said that, but I lost the start of the convo when I decided to restart Steam to install an update. My bad. I do still have this part though. andshock: i am happy i made an impact, i didnt think anyone took that pm seriously |
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| Kirbymuncher | Jan 19 2015, 08:02 PM Post #12 |
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That video's almost at 6M already now, baruch <_< Here's what I plan on submitting: 1. 91% 2. ??? (waiting on reviews) 3. 23789 4. $60.01 5. 9,123,456 (though I may change this based on view count tomorrow) 6. 189 7. $20,020 8. $1.78 9. 1906 I think the first one we might want to have someone guess 90% or 92% just in case? |
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| Cody11533 | Jan 19 2015, 09:01 PM Post #13 |
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Not gonna have a lot of time to help with this unfortunately. I'll be on in the morning to throw together some guesses and/or piggyback off of your guys' answers. |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 20 2015, 02:53 AM Post #14 |
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Eh, I guess just take those 9 numbers and different people should maybe make slight modifications for their submissions (since we don't want to disqualify for points by having two people say the same thing on any of the questions). I'd recommend everyone post the slight variation they're sending here, so that each person who submits can make extra sure there's no overlap (unless there are anyone where you literally know the exact answer 100% for sure somehow). I read up a bit on some of these but didn't really have any useful insights to contribute... it could be that I waited until I was too tired though, in which case I'm sorry and I hope we win or I'll feel about 4% guilty. |
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| Cody11533 | Jan 20 2015, 06:47 AM Post #15 |
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1. 49% (I think I looked at the right movie here, the one with Jennifer Lopez) 2. 82 3. 24,999 4. $50 5. 9,555,555 6. 185 7. $16,500 8. $1.84 9. 1799 |
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| Kirbymuncher | Jan 20 2015, 07:51 AM Post #16 |
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Oh I see how I (and Baruch) got confused on #1... we were both looking at the % of people who want to see it, which means nothing about the actual rating at all. I think I'll lower my guess to 57%. Also reviews don't seem to have come out for #2 yet so I'll just guess that one at 76. My final list: 1. 57% 2. 76 3. 23789 4. $60.01 5. 11,654,321 6. 189 7. $20,020 8. $1.78 9. 1906 |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 08:06 AM Post #17 |
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Yaaaaay middle ground. 1. 53% 2. 83 3. 22500 4. $65 5. 10000000 6. 187 7. $18000 8. $1.80 9. 1850 |
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| Cody11533 | Jan 20 2015, 08:18 AM Post #18 |
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Also I just want to note that this is a pretty cool challenge, although I'm frightened by how much is left to chance. Who wants to buy an amiibo at a specific price to guarantee a point? |
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| Kirbymuncher | Jan 20 2015, 08:32 AM Post #19 |
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I was actually thinking about possibly manipulating answers and came up with that one as the only really realistic one (unless people want to go spam CE?). I'll pass on actually buying it though since our lowest guess is $50 |
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| Cody11533 | Jan 20 2015, 08:44 AM Post #20 |
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I'll call in my NBA ref contact and get him to rig that game in our favor. |
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| Kirbymuncher | Jan 20 2015, 10:30 AM Post #21 |
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#3 and #4 can be found here http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/570526-the-famous-five/47462663 posts #3-4-5 |
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| Kefiroth | Jan 20 2015, 10:50 AM Post #22 |
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I'm afraid this challenge is so easy it will likely need a tiebreaker. Anyway, I'll have a good amount of free time this afternoon to look for these. |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:10 AM Post #23 |
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[x] 1. A post that contains the word "Epic" - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/795265-far-cry-4/70898841 (title) [x] 2. A post that contains the word "Struggle" - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/739521-middle-earth-shadow-of-mordor/70808565 (title) [x] 3. A same time post where both posts contain the same message (doesn't have to be word for word, but they should overall convey the same message) - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/633202-super-smash-bros-for-wii-u/69930178 (4-5) [x] 4. A triple same time post - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/570526-the-famous-five/47462663 (3-5) [x] 5. Three messages in a row from different users that all have been deleted by a moderator. - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/218-pro-wrestling-wwe/50311677 (232-234) [x] 6. A post claiming that Dragon Age 2 is better than Dragon Age: Origins - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/995452-mass-effect-3/62118050 (title) [x] 7. A post claiming that Apollo Justice is the best game in the Ace Attorney series - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/939946-phoenix-wright-ace-attorney-dual-destinies/69361934 (title) [x] 8. A topic where it is clear that the topic creator accidentally posted in the wrong board - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/716732-destiny/70807772 (2) [x] 9. A post that contains the entire first post of the topic in a quote - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/696959-pokemon-x/67477462 (3) [x] 10. A post that contains a quote from the same user - 10 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/2000121-anime-and-manga-other-titles/70649227 (5) [x] 11. A post claiming that the user likes mayo (the user, the condiment, the health clinic, or the month of May in Spanish) - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/997614-nintendo-3ds/70601929 (2) [x] 12. A post claiming that the user does not like mayo (the user, the condiment, the health clinic, or the month of May in Spanish) - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/733724-grand-theft-auto-online/69173346 (4) [x] 13. A post claiming that the user likes machete (the user, the weapon, or the movie) - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/942713-dead-island/60314211 (title) [x] 14. A post claiming that the user does not like machete (the user, the weapon, or the movie) - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/693331-dark-souls-ii/69623741 (title + 1) [x] 15. A post made by one of the players in TES2 that was kicked out for inactivity - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/2000121-anime-and-manga-other-titles/68682815 (1) Edited by ArchangelBaruch, Jan 20 2015, 01:41 PM.
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:12 AM Post #24 |
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10 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/2000121-anime-and-manga-other-titles/70649227 (5) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:22 AM Post #25 |
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11 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/997614-nintendo-3ds/70601929 (2) Debatable. Edited by ArchangelBaruch, Jan 20 2015, 11:23 AM.
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:24 AM Post #26 |
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12 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/733724-grand-theft-auto-online/69173346 (4) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:25 AM Post #27 |
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13 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/942713-dead-island/60314211 (title) |
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| Kirbymuncher | Jan 20 2015, 11:26 AM Post #28 |
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Sure that mayo chiki topic can't satisfy 11-12? :p Are we sure nested quoting counts for 10? |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:31 AM Post #29 |
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14 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/693331-dark-souls-ii/69623741 (title + 1)
Edited by ArchangelBaruch, Jan 20 2015, 11:31 AM.
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| Cody11533 | Jan 20 2015, 11:37 AM Post #30 |
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9 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/71053856 (2) I helped! |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:39 AM Post #31 |
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GameFAQs Contests' topics die after 24ish hours, as it's a popular board. I'd rather use archived posts only, just to cover our bases. |
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| Cody11533 | Jan 20 2015, 11:41 AM Post #32 |
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I will keep it alive! (Feel free to find an alternative though) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:44 AM Post #33 |
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15 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/2000121-anime-and-manga-other-titles/68682815 (1) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:46 AM Post #34 |
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1 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/795265-far-cry-4/70898841 (title) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:47 AM Post #35 |
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2 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/739521-middle-earth-shadow-of-mordor/70808565 (title) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:52 AM Post #36 |
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7 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/939946-phoenix-wright-ace-attorney-dual-destinies/69361934 (title) ...That took a while. |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:53 AM Post #37 |
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6 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/995452-mass-effect-3/62118050 (title) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 11:55 AM Post #38 |
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8 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/716732-destiny/70807772 (2) |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 12:07 PM Post #39 |
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5 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/218-pro-wrestling-wwe/50311677 (232-234) Probably just copypasting the text. But hey, it should count. Only thing left is to replace 9. |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 12:10 PM Post #40 |
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9 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/572556-guardian-angel/45665363 (2) I hope the quote system isn't considered too old. ...I'm spent. Edited by ArchangelBaruch, Jan 20 2015, 12:11 PM.
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| Cody11533 | Jan 20 2015, 12:13 PM Post #41 |
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http://media2.giphy.com/media/b9aScKLxdv0Y0/giphy.gif |
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 12:49 PM Post #42 |
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Now I'm fearing 3) won't be valid since the message is empty. It could be replaced with http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/633202-super-smash-bros-for-wii-u/69930178 (4-5) |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 20 2015, 12:55 PM Post #43 |
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Haha. I was thinking about posting topics on CE at a certain time, but I never considered buying the Amiibo. You're amazing, Cody. Oh, one minor problem though. Ebay nowadays tends to use automatic bidding (I guess I should've warned you guys about this), so people only bid up to their max bid if they need to, and they typically outbid each other in line with some bidding intervals. |
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| Kefiroth | Jan 20 2015, 12:57 PM Post #44 |
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Oh, I guess I won't be needed after all :( |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 20 2015, 12:58 PM Post #45 |
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Alternatives are likely better, since keeping a topic alive just gives more opportunities for Scorpio to find it and use it for their submission. |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 20 2015, 01:06 PM Post #46 |
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Wait, you guys got everything while I was away (even before I got on my phone)? Wow, that REALLY is easy. I'll double-check all these late this afternoon after work, but maybe it would be a good idea for all 4 to submit a perfect 15/15 early (once we know for sure it's 15/15). Either Mayo updates early and we get to continue with the game or Mayo says "4/8 sent" and Scorpio thinks this is really really easy and waits for the last few hours to submit... in which case we can hope they miss one due to that procrastination, if we're lucky. |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 20 2015, 01:14 PM Post #47 |
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Ok, I just reviewed them all on my phone instead, and #9 is the only one I don't like. We should find one with the new quote system unless Mayo promises to accept that specific post to you via PM for full credit. Edit: Oh, and I agree about the change in #3. Use the smash link or whatever that was. Edited by Dreamwalker, Jan 20 2015, 01:16 PM.
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| ArchangelBaruch | Jan 20 2015, 01:19 PM Post #48 |
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3 changed. |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 20 2015, 01:36 PM Post #49 |
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While phone-searching for a better answer than #9, I ran into a post by FvP. That topic didn't quite work, but I felt like pointing this observation out anyway. |
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| Dreamwalker | Jan 20 2015, 01:39 PM Post #50 |
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/696959-pokemon-x/67477462 Post 3 should work. Edit: Oh. I may have misread that. Are we only allowed to have the quote and nothing else in the post? *goes back to searching* Re-Edit: No, I guess I read it fine. The pist can have other stuff in it, so long as it also includes the entire first post in a quote. So what I said is good. Edited by Dreamwalker, Jan 20 2015, 01:43 PM.
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