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Tigger
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Dec 12 2014, 10:02 PM
Post #161
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- Dec 12 2014, 09:49 PM
A genuine question - why are we still building red brick houses? Surely there are other technologies, other methods available (or could be) that are so much cheaper?
Lenders in this country do not like putting money into prefab housing, I saw a factory made house put up in Denmark a few years ago, it was habitable within three days with running water and electricity up and running.
The US and I believe Canada are also rather good at this sort of thing, the living quality and space these places offer is also admirable, the downside for lenders is the building can have a lifespan of only fifty years.
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Steve K
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Dec 12 2014, 10:19 PM
Post #162
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- Pro Veritas
- Dec 12 2014, 06:58 PM
- RJD
- Dec 12 2014, 05:19 PM
Do you not remember what happened last time we tried this?
Yeah. We had affordable and relatively plentiful social housing. We had a private rental sector that did not gouge the consumer. Private renters rarely had to rely in housing benefit to make ends meet, so the welfare bill was not unduly increased. We had a housing market that was, by and large, healthy and sustainable. And because of a change of housing market pressures we didn't lurch from boom to bust and collapse quite so often, or so violently. Can't for one second think why anybody would want that again, can you? All The Best And Pigs flew every day or maybe those 2 for 1 rose tinted nostalgia specs aren't such a good idea
"We had affordable and relatively plentiful social housing"
"We had a private rental sector that did not gouge the consumer."
I could go on but I'd die laughing
There isn't a single example in world history where price controls did not lead to either shortages or a police state to implement virtual slave labour.
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Affa
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Dec 12 2014, 11:05 PM
Post #163
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- Tigger
- Dec 12 2014, 10:02 PM
......... the downside for lenders is the building can have a lifespan of only fifty years.
Thanks; The rebuild is relatively cheap though and in some ways a desirable alternative - it'd be great to re-design the home every so often.
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Tigger
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Dec 13 2014, 12:20 PM
Post #164
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- Dec 12 2014, 10:19 PM
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- RJD
- Dec 12 2014, 05:19 PM
Do you not remember what happened last time we tried this?
Yeah. We had affordable and relatively plentiful social housing. We had a private rental sector that did not gouge the consumer. Private renters rarely had to rely in housing benefit to make ends meet, so the welfare bill was not unduly increased. We had a housing market that was, by and large, healthy and sustainable. And because of a change of housing market pressures we didn't lurch from boom to bust and collapse quite so often, or so violently. Can't for one second think why anybody would want that again, can you? All The Best
And Pigs flew every day or maybe those 2 for 1 rose tinted nostalgia specs aren't such a good idea "We had affordable and relatively plentiful social housing" "We had a private rental sector that did not gouge the consumer." I could go on but I'd die laughing There isn't a single example in world history where price controls did not lead to either shortages or a police state to implement virtual slave labour. Erm.......... in the post war era Britain had price controls on many essential items, this included housing food and energy, and keep in mind that this was an era of shortages where you would almost certainly get price gouging, the result? The economy boomed like never before (or since) inequality was drastically reduced and we once again became a major exporter, we had a healthy trade surplus and the nation became a far far better place for ordinary folk.
Governments are elected by those who live in society and should step in when needed to ensure society is protected and it's interests heeded, sadly we now vote and the politicians do the bidding of their sponsors.
And it's me laughing at you now..............
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Tigger
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Dec 13 2014, 12:24 PM
Post #165
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- Dec 12 2014, 11:05 PM
- Tigger
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......... the downside for lenders is the building can have a lifespan of only fifty years.
Thanks; The rebuild is relatively cheap though and in some ways a desirable alternative - it'd be great to re-design the home every so often. They can be very durable, in cold regions these structures can last indefinitely, (no fungal rot etc) but they have never been popular here due to housing being seen as both an investment and store of wealth, and most of our problems with housing stem from the last two points.
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Steve K
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Dec 13 2014, 01:03 PM
Post #166
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- Dec 13 2014, 12:20 PM
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- Dec 12 2014, 05:19 PM
Do you not remember what happened last time we tried this?
Yeah. We had affordable and relatively plentiful social housing. We had a private rental sector that did not gouge the consumer. Private renters rarely had to rely in housing benefit to make ends meet, so the welfare bill was not unduly increased. We had a housing market that was, by and large, healthy and sustainable. And because of a change of housing market pressures we didn't lurch from boom to bust and collapse quite so often, or so violently. Can't for one second think why anybody would want that again, can you? All The Best
And Pigs flew every day or maybe those 2 for 1 rose tinted nostalgia specs aren't such a good idea "We had affordable and relatively plentiful social housing" "We had a private rental sector that did not gouge the consumer." I could go on but I'd die laughing There isn't a single example in world history where price controls did not lead to either shortages or a police state to implement virtual slave labour.
Erm.......... in the post war era Britain had price controls on many essential items, this included housing food and energy, and keep in mind that this was an era of shortages where you would almost certainly get price gouging, the result? The economy boomed like never before (or since) inequality was drastically reduced and we once again became a major exporter, we had a healthy trade surplus and the nation became a far far better place for ordinary folk. Governments are elected by those who live in society and should step in when needed to ensure society is protected and it's interests heeded, sadly we now vote and the politicians do the bidding of their sponsors. And it's me laughing at you now.............. Why don't you try reading your own posts before you press Submit?
"in the post war era Britain had price controls on many essential items, this included housing food and energy, and keep in mind that this was an era of shortages"
Yep price controls and shortages go together - just like I said.
You do know that we were one of the last nations to end rationing after WW2 don't you? No didn't think so.
As for the sector we are discussing try googling Peter Rachman and he was far from alone. When you over regulate a sector you get shortages and you get the evils that such shortages produce. So go laugh if you like, you won't if you get your way and act on symptoms instead of root causes.
Housing is too expensive because demand exceeds supply. IMHO we have to reduce the demand but I guess we could build even more on green land to increase the supply - there won't be anymore rain though so then you'll get water shortages.
Edited by Steve K, Dec 13 2014, 01:31 PM.
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Tigger
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Dec 13 2014, 01:37 PM
Post #167
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- Dec 12 2014, 06:58 PM
Quoting limited to 4 levels deep
And Pigs flew every day or maybe those 2 for 1 rose tinted nostalgia specs aren't such a good idea "We had affordable and relatively plentiful social housing" "We had a private rental sector that did not gouge the consumer." I could go on but I'd die laughing There isn't a single example in world history where price controls did not lead to either shortages or a police state to implement virtual slave labour.
Erm.......... in the post war era Britain had price controls on many essential items, this included housing food and energy, and keep in mind that this was an era of shortages where you would almost certainly get price gouging, the result? The economy boomed like never before (or since) inequality was drastically reduced and we once again became a major exporter, we had a healthy trade surplus and the nation became a far far better place for ordinary folk. Governments are elected by those who live in society and should step in when needed to ensure society is protected and it's interests heeded, sadly we now vote and the politicians do the bidding of their sponsors. And it's me laughing at you now..............
Why don't you try reading your own posts before you press Submit? "in the post war era Britain had price controls on many essential items, this included housing food and energy, and keep in mind that this was an era of shortages"Yep price controls and shortages go together - just like I said. You do know that we were one of the last nations to end rationing after WW2 don't you? No didn't think so. As for the sector we are discussing try googling Peter Rachman and he was far from alone. When you over regulate a sector you get shortages and you get the evils that such shortages produce. So go laugh if you like, you won't if you get your way and act of symptoms instead of root causes. Housing is too expensive because demand exceeds supply. IMHO we have to reduce the demand but I guess we could build even more on green land to increase the supply - there won't be anymore rain though so then you'll get water shortages. Mainly nonsense.
And as someone who has been in the housing industry for over thirty odd years has shares in several development firms and has a front seat view let me enlighten you.
Firstly, You mention price controls, WE HAVE EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE! we have numerous subsidies for housing such as help to buy, funding for lending, rent top ups for low paid workers and so on, AND YET WE STILL HAVE HOUSING SHORTAGES! The market is rigged to under supply and planning consent is painfully slow, tortuous and generally expensive to obtain, I know it and most politicians know it but choose to pretend the problems are elsewhere.
And the tax system is rigged against those wishing to get on the housing ladder, there are tax breaks for BTL that allow you to outbid first time buyers, and you have to take on loans at artificially low rates. The housing market is a total croc and discourages investment in other areas of the economy because you simply cannot loose money with housing as it is propped up from every direction!
And how about this then, the Post Office just this week commissioned a report from the CEBR which showed that housing had "earned" more in the past year that the average worker! Average house price increase £29,339 average wage £27,271!
No wonder the economy is fucked you could earn more money sitting on your arse! And sadly many do and wish to keep it that way.
Edited by Tigger, Dec 13 2014, 01:40 PM.
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Affa
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Dec 13 2014, 01:41 PM
Post #168
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Plenty of rainfall for all ...... the problems with shortages stem from the inefficiencies of those managing the supply to homes etc.
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Tigger
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Dec 13 2014, 01:50 PM
Post #169
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- Dec 13 2014, 01:41 PM
Plenty of rainfall for all ...... the problems with shortages stem from the inefficiencies of those managing the supply to homes etc.
Prior to the privatisation the various water boards had land earmarked for future reservoirs, naturally this was sold off fairly quickly to boost short term profits as the predicted shortfall was more that two decades away, even so there is still vast capacity to be had in tapping rivers and building so called mini lakes which can supply local areas.
Barring exceptional weather water shortages are just another myth in the armoury of the Nimby, the bigger and more expensive problem is treating waste water, not finding new supplies.
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Steve K
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Dec 13 2014, 02:03 PM
Post #170
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- Dec 13 2014, 01:50 PM
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Plenty of rainfall for all ...... the problems with shortages stem from the inefficiencies of those managing the supply to homes etc.
Prior to the privatisation the various water boards had land earmarked for future reservoirs, naturally this was sold off fairly quickly to boost short term profits as the predicted shortfall was more that two decades away, even so there is still vast capacity to be had in tapping rivers and building so called mini lakes which can supply local areas. Barring exceptional weather water shortages are just another myth in the armoury of the Nimby, the bigger and more expensive problem is treating waste water, not finding new supplies. Technically some areas of Britain are already semi-arid when you look at av rainfall per resident. IIRC Essex is one such and Kent must be similar. And where does the government want to build more homes . . .
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Tigger
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Dec 13 2014, 02:07 PM
Post #171
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- Dec 13 2014, 02:03 PM
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- Dec 13 2014, 01:50 PM
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- Dec 13 2014, 01:41 PM
Plenty of rainfall for all ...... the problems with shortages stem from the inefficiencies of those managing the supply to homes etc.
Prior to the privatisation the various water boards had land earmarked for future reservoirs, naturally this was sold off fairly quickly to boost short term profits as the predicted shortfall was more that two decades away, even so there is still vast capacity to be had in tapping rivers and building so called mini lakes which can supply local areas. Barring exceptional weather water shortages are just another myth in the armoury of the Nimby, the bigger and more expensive problem is treating waste water, not finding new supplies.
Technically some areas of Britain are already semi-arid when you look at av rainfall per resident. IIRC Essex is one such and Kent must be similar. And where does the government want to build more homes . . . This may come as a bit of a shock Steve but you can lay underground pipes and bring in water from elsewhere,Wales for example has a vast surplus of easily potable water. London would be dry if this had not happened more that eighty years ago..........
Edited by Tigger, Dec 13 2014, 02:08 PM.
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Steve K
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Dec 13 2014, 02:11 PM
Post #172
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- Dec 13 2014, 01:37 PM
Mainly nonsense.
And as someone who has been in the housing industry for over thirty odd years has shares in several development firms and has a front seat view let me enlighten you.
Firstly, You mention price controls, WE HAVE EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE! we have numerous subsidies for housing such as help to buy, funding for lending, rent top ups for low paid workers and so on, AND YET WE STILL HAVE HOUSING SHORTAGES! The market is rigged to under supply and planning consent is painfully slow, tortuous and generally expensive to obtain, I know it and most politicians know it but choose to pretend the problems are elsewhere.
And the tax system is rigged against those wishing to get on the housing ladder, there are tax breaks for BTL that allow you to outbid first time buyers, and you have to take on loans at artificially low rates. The housing market is a total croc and discourages investment in other areas of the economy because you simply cannot loose money with housing as it is propped up from every direction!
And how about this then, the Post Office just this week commissioned a report from the CEBR which showed that housing had "earned" more in the past year that the average worker! Average house price increase £29,339 average wage £27,271!
No wonder the economy is fucked you could earn more money sitting on your arse! And sadly many do and wish to keep it that way.
Actually I agree with most of your post
- Quote:
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Firstly, You mention price controls, WE HAVE EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE! we have numerous subsidies for housing such as help to buy, funding for lending, rent top ups for low paid workers and so on, AND YET WE STILL HAVE HOUSING SHORTAGES! The market is rigged to under supply and planning consent is painfully slow, tortuous and generally expensive to obtain, I know it and most politicians know it but choose to pretend the problems are elsewhere. Yep market manipulation either way is dumb dumb dumb if you've forgotten the law of unintended consequences
- Quote:
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And the tax system is rigged against those wishing to get on the housing ladder, there are tax breaks for BTL that allow you to outbid first time buyers, and you have to take on loans at artificially low rates. The housing market is a total croc and discourages investment in other areas of the economy because you simply cannot loose money with housing as it is propped up from every direction! Yep
- Quote:
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And how about this then, the Post Office just this week commissioned a report from the CEBR which showed that housing had "earned" more in the past year that the average worker! Average house price increase £29,339 average wage £27,271!
It's the supply v demand effect again. Perhaps you hadn't noticed that one of my red lines for EU renegotiation is we have to regain control on migration.
- Quote:
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No wonder the economy is fucked you could earn more money sitting on your arse! And sadly many do and wish to keep it that way. I don't see the economy as effed but it's seriously skewed in favour of static wealth and I repeat we have to move the tax burden from those who want to work or create work onto those who want to sit pretty paying sod all taxes but want masses of regulation and crime enforcement to protect their wealth.
Just do not go down the road of price controls, it has never really worked anywhere longer than to influence the next election and the secondary effects are horrendous.
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Steve K
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Dec 13 2014, 02:23 PM
Post #173
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- Dec 13 2014, 02:07 PM
This may come as a bit of a shock Steve but you can lay underground pipes and bring in water from elsewhere,Wales for example has a vast surplus of easily potable water. London would be dry if this had not happened more that eighty years ago.......... How strange if such a pipeline has been in place for ""eighty years" that the Welsh say the idea is unworkable
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-17343140
Go on where is this Wales-London pipeline you speak of? Certainly Thames Water (that supplies London) web site suggests you had been drinking something far stronger before you posted that supposition.
Water is a bugger to pump long distances at rates the average person will be happy to pay for unless it's down a slope. Last time I looked the Severn River is roughly the same elevation above sea level as the Thames is. But maybe you know different.
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Affa
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Dec 13 2014, 02:34 PM
Post #174
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I've not looked it up, haven't the time right now, but if I recall the Welsh reservoirs are connected to the London supply 'as a back up system for when droughts do appear'. It isn't necessary to have water continuously pumped across land.
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Steve K
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Dec 13 2014, 02:48 PM
Post #175
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- Dec 13 2014, 02:34 PM
I've not looked it up, haven't the time right now, but if I recall the Welsh reservoirs are connected to the London supply 'as a back up system for when droughts do appear'. It isn't necessary to have water continuously pumped across land.
Yes in short term emergencies money will be found. What they may be doing is pumping into the Thames near its source.
But it's no long term solution. We have too many houses in the SE already and the government plan is to change that to way too many.
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RJD
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Dec 13 2014, 03:51 PM
Post #176
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- Dec 12 2014, 09:37 PM
- Tytoalba
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- Dec 12 2014, 02:33 PM
Nice Response, Good starting point.
If we could discuss this point by point I stand a chance of learning something.
So if we reintroduced rent controls on the pros side this would make housing more affordable. What would the likely negative effects be?
You first need to decide what a reasonable return on an investment in property should be. As a simple example, assume the cost of a property to be £100,000 .There will be expenses to pay in maintaining the property insuring and servicing it. and paying tax on profits. So what is a reasonable return taking all factors into account? ! would suggest that 7% is about right , taking into account possible property prices or allowing for a collapse in value That is £580 PCM or £134 a week. Supply and demand and market forces will decide the price., interfering with it across the country will just make things more complicated, increase bureaucracy and dry up the market. I present again Kipling's The Gods of the copybook headings.
The private housing sector needs shoving out of the way, it has utterly failed to meet the needs of the nation and continually holds the nation to ransom, this has to be stopped. In just about every area of the economy demand causes a rise in supply which eventually results in lower prices, the exception in the housing market which is clearly rigged to buck this trend. Time for major reform. Ignorant rubbish increases in demand can also result in price hikes. It is oversupply that reduces prices.
I doubt that Joe Public would accept State allocation of accommodation. Last time we tried this nepotism ruled and the quality of the housing stock declined.
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RJD
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Dec 13 2014, 03:52 PM
Post #177
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- Dec 13 2014, 02:34 PM
I've not looked it up, haven't the time right now, but if I recall the Welsh reservoirs are connected to the London supply 'as a back up system for when droughts do appear'. It isn't necessary to have water continuously pumped across land.
Which ones? I think you will find that the connection is to the Midlands.
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Tigger
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Dec 13 2014, 07:31 PM
Post #178
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- Dec 13 2014, 02:23 PM
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- Dec 13 2014, 02:07 PM
This may come as a bit of a shock Steve but you can lay underground pipes and bring in water from elsewhere,Wales for example has a vast surplus of easily potable water. London would be dry if this had not happened more that eighty years ago..........
How strange if such a pipeline has been in place for ""eighty years" that the Welsh say the idea is unworkable http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-17343140Go on where is this Wales-London pipeline you speak of? Certainly Thames Water (that supplies London) web site suggests you had been drinking something far stronger before you posted that supposition. Water is a bugger to pump long distances at rates the average person will be happy to pay for unless it's down a slope. Last time I looked the Severn River is roughly the same elevation above sea level as the Thames is. But maybe you know different. London has not been able to water itself properly since Victorian times and has relied on water being brought in from elsewhere, mainly from the home counties (not Wales if that was the impression I gave) the freshwater parts of the Thames were polluted long before this and several other rivers were directed underground as well and were lost, the Fleet being perhaps the most famous, and it isn't that expensive to pump water over great distances, oil a much more viscous substance is pumped thousands of miles across North America by gas turbines at very little relative cost, water can be driven by something as basic as gravity and electric pumps to give it "head".
Don't argue with me about water it's my life!
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Tigger
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Dec 13 2014, 07:43 PM
Post #179
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- Dec 13 2014, 01:37 PM
Mainly nonsense.
And as someone who has been in the housing industry for over thirty odd years has shares in several development firms and has a front seat view let me enlighten you.
Firstly, You mention price controls, WE HAVE EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE! we have numerous subsidies for housing such as help to buy, funding for lending, rent top ups for low paid workers and so on, AND YET WE STILL HAVE HOUSING SHORTAGES! The market is rigged to under supply and planning consent is painfully slow, tortuous and generally expensive to obtain, I know it and most politicians know it but choose to pretend the problems are elsewhere.
And the tax system is rigged against those wishing to get on the housing ladder, there are tax breaks for BTL that allow you to outbid first time buyers, and you have to take on loans at artificially low rates. The housing market is a total croc and discourages investment in other areas of the economy because you simply cannot loose money with housing as it is propped up from every direction!
And how about this then, the Post Office just this week commissioned a report from the CEBR which showed that housing had "earned" more in the past year that the average worker! Average house price increase £29,339 average wage £27,271!
No wonder the economy is fucked you could earn more money sitting on your arse! And sadly many do and wish to keep it that way.
Actually I agree with most of your post - Quote:
-
Firstly, You mention price controls, WE HAVE EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE! we have numerous subsidies for housing such as help to buy, funding for lending, rent top ups for low paid workers and so on, AND YET WE STILL HAVE HOUSING SHORTAGES! The market is rigged to under supply and planning consent is painfully slow, tortuous and generally expensive to obtain, I know it and most politicians know it but choose to pretend the problems are elsewhere.
Yep market manipulation either way is dumb dumb dumb if you've forgotten the law of unintended consequences - Quote:
-
And the tax system is rigged against those wishing to get on the housing ladder, there are tax breaks for BTL that allow you to outbid first time buyers, and you have to take on loans at artificially low rates. The housing market is a total croc and discourages investment in other areas of the economy because you simply cannot loose money with housing as it is propped up from every direction!
Yep - Quote:
-
And how about this then, the Post Office just this week commissioned a report from the CEBR which showed that housing had "earned" more in the past year that the average worker! Average house price increase £29,339 average wage £27,271!
It's the supply v demand effect again. Perhaps you hadn't noticed that one of my red lines for EU renegotiation is we have to regain control on migration. - Quote:
-
No wonder the economy is fucked you could earn more money sitting on your arse! And sadly many do and wish to keep it that way.
I don't see the economy as effed but it's seriously skewed in favour of static wealth and I repeat we have to move the tax burden from those who want to work or create work onto those who want to sit pretty paying sod all taxes but want masses of regulation and crime enforcement to protect their wealth. Just do not go down the road of price controls, it has never really worked anywhere longer than to influence the next election and the secondary effects are horrendous. I won't argue with most of that, but my solution to the housing crisis would be the usual one advocated by those on the right, competition!
Scrap planning laws and start again, despite three years ago promising to slim down the planning regs from nine hundred odd pages to less that 100 the present government has done zero, in addition I would open up the housebuilding market to European based developers, they would rip our industry a new one in a matter of months, just a shame that virtually all the major developers contribute funds to the present government............
The rather stark truth is house builders have it made, virtually no competition, a sympathetic government with an open wallet, and no laws to hurry the pace of work, in my considered opinion the government should set up in competition against them and get them to buck up their ideas, back in the so called golden age of house building (the 50's) the government set the agenda and did a lot of the training, don't tell the forums right wingers though because it was a roaring success.
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Tigger
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Dec 13 2014, 07:46 PM
Post #180
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- Dec 12 2014, 02:33 PM
Nice Response, Good starting point.
If we could discuss this point by point I stand a chance of learning something.
So if we reintroduced rent controls on the pros side this would make housing more affordable. What would the likely negative effects be?
You first need to decide what a reasonable return on an investment in property should be. As a simple example, assume the cost of a property to be £100,000 .There will be expenses to pay in maintaining the property insuring and servicing it. and paying tax on profits. So what is a reasonable return taking all factors into account? ! would suggest that 7% is about right , taking into account possible property prices or allowing for a collapse in value That is £580 PCM or £134 a week. Supply and demand and market forces will decide the price., interfering with it across the country will just make things more complicated, increase bureaucracy and dry up the market. I present again Kipling's The Gods of the copybook headings.
The private housing sector needs shoving out of the way, it has utterly failed to meet the needs of the nation and continually holds the nation to ransom, this has to be stopped. In just about every area of the economy demand causes a rise in supply which eventually results in lower prices, the exception in the housing market which is clearly rigged to buck this trend. Time for major reform.
Ignorant rubbish increases in demand can also result in price hikes. It is oversupply that reduces prices. I doubt that Joe Public would accept State allocation of accommodation. Last time we tried this nepotism ruled and the quality of the housing stock declined. Derrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.
Did you not notice the market is rigged? The evidence is overwhelming.
And compare the council built houses of the fifties and sixties to the privately owned slums of the thirties before you lower your pants to speak to us.
Edited by Tigger, Dec 13 2014, 07:48 PM.
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