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Margins.
Topic Started: Jan 6 2015, 01:04 AM (97 Views)
Rich
Senior Member
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Sky is predicting (122 days ahead) that the marginal seats will be the deciding factor on May 7th 2015, any comments?
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johnofgwent
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It .. It is GREEN !!
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Yes.

If thats a prediction my name is nostradamus.

Ive lost count of the number of times I said this...

Politicians only "care" about seats where loyalties can be won and lost. Newport East used to have a margin in the tens of thousands. It was pointless voting if you were not a labour supporter because nobody else stood a chance.

Huntingdon Cambs the seat that returned john major was a similar example for the tories.

Politics in the last two or three elections has focussed on maybe 30 seats many like the area south of brum where loyalties were less stacked. They had daily helicopter flights of strolling cabinet ministers, focus groups ...

In the last week of the 2010 GE it became obvious blair and uraq, brown and bigotry, and an idiot bitch who believed what a junior minister soon to be out for electoral crime told her, rather than what common sense screamed, shredded labours majority here from its formerr tens of thousands to less than the number of voters who would vote for the bnp.

In those final days I was mobbed by candidates, party leaders, activists and the press. And so was everyone else trying to go shopping ... or do anything else.

It was insane ...

And it showed that this "prediction" is about as surprising as night following day and taxation following death
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papasmurf
Senior Member
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Rich
Jan 6 2015, 01:04 AM
Sky is predicting (122 days ahead) that the marginal seats will be the deciding factor on May 7th 2015, any comments?
Marginal seats are always the deciding factor at general elections, it is just there are more of them this time. I also think tactical voting will be a bigger factor than the "pundits" think, because of the sheer number of people treated badly by the current government.
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Pro Veritas
Upstanding Member
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papasmurf
Jan 6 2015, 09:00 AM
I also think tactical voting will be a bigger factor than the "pundits" think, because of the sheer number of people treated badly by the current government.
Anyone who knows me from the old forum, or who has followed my posts here knows just how much I loathe and hate Labour.

They totally betrayed the working class during their last time in office.

However, if the only way I can see to prevent the Tories being re-elected is to vote Labour I will do just that.

I honestly do not know a single person who could survive another 5 years of Tory mis-rule.

All The Best
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papasmurf
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Pro Veritas
Jan 14 2015, 11:16 AM


However, if the only way I can see to prevent the Tories being re-elected is to vote Labour I will do just that.
Keeping a Tory out by voting tactically depends on which constituency you live in.
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Pro Veritas
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papasmurf
Jan 14 2015, 11:18 AM
Pro Veritas
Jan 14 2015, 11:16 AM


However, if the only way I can see to prevent the Tories being re-elected is to vote Labour I will do just that.
Keeping a Tory out by voting tactically depends on which constituency you live in.
Corby.

Currently held by Andy Sawford, Labour with 48% of the vote.

Previously held by the Tories (Louise Bagshawe / Mensch).

I'd expect to see the Tories beaten into third by UKIP to be honest; but I simply do not want to risk the Tories winning the seat by splitting votes too far.

All The Best
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krugerman
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Well there s rocket science for you

If most people believe the election is too close to predict a likely winner, the marginal seats will be the key battle grounds, I wonder if the people in Sky News who worked this out have high educational attainment.

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somersetli
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somersetli
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We are more than likely to end up with another coalition, though who the partners will be is anyone's guess.
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Affa
Senior Member
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There will not be many floating voters that will want to see G Osborne still in place after the GE.
Cameron, for all his myriad faults, does remain Statesmanlike, does command respect - his Cabinet, GO, JH, FM, to identify three has betrayed any trust voters might have had.

Quite seriously, and I do not say it lightly, but if those three are in the next government there will be riots.
Now I also know that there are some that think that the only way to restore Democracy in the UK is through civil unrest - and I can imagine these voting Tory net time just to make it happen.
I haven't made my own mind up yet, but I live in one of the safest Tory seats there is, a seat where even benefit scroungers vote Tory - it wont be my fault. <g>



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