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blkmagicwoman
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Jun 11 2013, 03:30 PM
Post #76
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- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 01:15 PM
Posting most recent test results. Evidently the limited Love dragon isn't the magic component. | Rainbow/Double Rainbow |
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| Level 12 Dragons | Level 20 Dragons | Totals |
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1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 23 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 12 Rainbow 15 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 35 Rainbow 27 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 40 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | 3,000 total attempts 60 Rainbow 25 Double Rainbow | 2,000 total attempts 32 Rainbow 21 Double Rainbow | 5,000 total attempts 92 Rainbow 46 Double Rainbow |
What is accounting for the increased percentage of getting Double Rainbow using Love+Salamander? What do you want so see next, gurus? I am interested in 2 limited dragons. Like Paper + Motley. Are the rates of DR comparable to Love + Salamander?
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Fletch_smf
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Jun 11 2013, 06:18 PM
Post #77
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- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 01:15 PM
Posting most recent test results. Evidently the limited Love dragon isn't the magic component. | Rainbow/Double Rainbow |
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| Level 12 Dragons | Level 20 Dragons | Totals |
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1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 23 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 12 Rainbow 15 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 35 Rainbow 27 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 40 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | 3,000 total attempts 60 Rainbow 25 Double Rainbow | 2,000 total attempts 32 Rainbow 21 Double Rainbow | 5,000 total attempts 92 Rainbow 46 Double Rainbow |
What is accounting for the increased percentage of getting Double Rainbow using Love+Salamander? What do you want so see next, gurus? If you have time to do this much testing again, I would love to see testing that might include a limited and an epic, like Butterfly and Olympus dragons, with both Level 10-ish dragons and Level 20 ones to add some more Doctor testing as well as seeing if there is any increase for Level 20 dragons for those two categories.
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Bufkey
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Jun 11 2013, 06:19 PM
Post #78
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- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 01:15 PM
Posting most recent test results. Evidently the limited Love dragon isn't the magic component. | Rainbow/Double Rainbow |
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| Level 12 Dragons | Level 20 Dragons | Totals |
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1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 23 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 12 Rainbow 15 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 35 Rainbow 27 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 40 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | 3,000 total attempts 60 Rainbow 25 Double Rainbow | 2,000 total attempts 32 Rainbow 21 Double Rainbow | 5,000 total attempts 92 Rainbow 46 Double Rainbow |
What is accounting for the increased percentage of getting Double Rainbow using Love+Salamander? What do you want so see next, gurus? Thank you Pixie for doing this test. Except for the Love+Salamander pair, your results seem to confirm DR has a 0.6% probability. Regarding Love+Salamander giving 12 DR's in 1000 tries, either BFS somehow gives this pair a higher percentage or the probability for this to happen is the following probability mass function:
f(12 DR's; 1000 breedings, 0.006 probability) = (1000!/(12!988!))(0.006^12)(0.994^988) = 0.011
or 1.1% ... a small number but still more likely than breeding a DR itself ;-)
Edited by Bufkey, Jun 11 2013, 07:00 PM.
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PixieWA
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Jun 11 2013, 07:25 PM
Post #79
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- Bufkey
- Jun 11 2013, 06:19 PM
- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 01:15 PM
Posting most recent test results. Evidently the limited Love dragon isn't the magic component. | Rainbow/Double Rainbow |
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| Level 12 Dragons | Level 20 Dragons | Totals |
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1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 23 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 12 Rainbow 15 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 35 Rainbow 27 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 40 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | 3,000 total attempts 60 Rainbow 25 Double Rainbow | 2,000 total attempts 32 Rainbow 21 Double Rainbow | 5,000 total attempts 92 Rainbow 46 Double Rainbow |
What is accounting for the increased percentage of getting Double Rainbow using Love+Salamander? What do you want so see next, gurus?
Thank you Pixie for doing this test. Except for the Love+Salamander pair, your results seem to confirm DR has a 0.6% probability. Regarding Love+Salamander giving 12 DR's in 1000 tries, either BFS somehow gives this pair a higher percentage or the probability for this to happen is the following probability mass function: f(12 DR's; 1000 breedings, 0.006 probability) = (1000!/(12!988!))(0.006^12)(0.994^988) = 0.011 or 1.1% ... a small number but still more likely than breeding a DR itself ;-) Haha, Fletch will tell you math is not my long suit. I'm very happy to do lots of tapping, but you people have to figure out what it all means. Pixie (aka grunt)
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Level Testing Spreadsheet
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Fletch_smf
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Jun 11 2013, 09:14 PM
Post #80
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- Posts:
- 1,552
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- Mar 4, 2012
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- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 07:25 PM
- Bufkey
- Jun 11 2013, 06:19 PM
- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 01:15 PM
Posting most recent test results. Evidently the limited Love dragon isn't the magic component. | Rainbow/Double Rainbow |
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| Level 12 Dragons | Level 20 Dragons | Totals |
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1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 23 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 12 Rainbow 15 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 35 Rainbow 27 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 40 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | 3,000 total attempts 60 Rainbow 25 Double Rainbow | 2,000 total attempts 32 Rainbow 21 Double Rainbow | 5,000 total attempts 92 Rainbow 46 Double Rainbow |
What is accounting for the increased percentage of getting Double Rainbow using Love+Salamander? What do you want so see next, gurus?
Thank you Pixie for doing this test. Except for the Love+Salamander pair, your results seem to confirm DR has a 0.6% probability. Regarding Love+Salamander giving 12 DR's in 1000 tries, either BFS somehow gives this pair a higher percentage or the probability for this to happen is the following probability mass function: f(12 DR's; 1000 breedings, 0.006 probability) = (1000!/(12!988!))(0.006^12)(0.994^988) = 0.011 or 1.1% ... a small number but still more likely than breeding a DR itself ;-)
Haha, Fletch will tell you math is not my long suit. I'm very happy to do lots of tapping, but you people have to figure out what it all means. Pixie (aka grunt)  Could I trouble you to add another row of totals along the bottom, please, to add up the totals for each dragon level, and to give a full total in the bottom right. I think at the moment it's at 10 000 total tests, with ~ 1% to Doctors and ~ 2% to Rainbows. Rainbow used to be at 1%, although we were nowhere near 10k in tests. We were possibly short, else they've increased the odds for Rainbow and given the Doctor the top spot.
I suddenly want to know how Skaala is doing with the Doctor quest. Lol
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Fletch_smf
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Jun 11 2013, 09:15 PM
Post #81
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Double Post ... Dragons are cool.
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swablueme
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Jun 11 2013, 09:20 PM
Post #82
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The angels have the phone box. DR gives me a run for my wordcount, hm, but I am surprised by those test results.
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PixieWA
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Jun 11 2013, 10:16 PM
Post #83
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- Posts:
- 130
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- Aug 1, 2012
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- Fletch_smf
- Jun 11 2013, 09:14 PM
- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 07:25 PM
- Bufkey
- Jun 11 2013, 06:19 PM
- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 01:15 PM
Posting most recent test results. Evidently the limited Love dragon isn't the magic component. | Rainbow/Double Rainbow |
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| Level 12 Dragons | Level 20 Dragons | Totals |
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1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 23 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 12 Rainbow 15 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 35 Rainbow 27 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 40 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | 3,000 total attempts 60 Rainbow 25 Double Rainbow | 2,000 total attempts 32 Rainbow 21 Double Rainbow | 5,000 total attempts 92 Rainbow 46 Double Rainbow |
What is accounting for the increased percentage of getting Double Rainbow using Love+Salamander? What do you want so see next, gurus?
Thank you Pixie for doing this test. Except for the Love+Salamander pair, your results seem to confirm DR has a 0.6% probability. Regarding Love+Salamander giving 12 DR's in 1000 tries, either BFS somehow gives this pair a higher percentage or the probability for this to happen is the following probability mass function: f(12 DR's; 1000 breedings, 0.006 probability) = (1000!/(12!988!))(0.006^12)(0.994^988) = 0.011 or 1.1% ... a small number but still more likely than breeding a DR itself ;-)
Haha, Fletch will tell you math is not my long suit. I'm very happy to do lots of tapping, but you people have to figure out what it all means. Pixie (aka grunt) 
Could I trouble you to add another row of totals along the bottom, please, to add up the totals for each dragon level, and to give a full total in the bottom right. I think at the moment it's at 10 000 total tests, with ~ 1% to Doctors and ~ 2% to Rainbows. Rainbow used to be at 1%, although we were nowhere near 10k in tests. We were possibly short, else they've increased the odds for Rainbow and given the Doctor the top spot. I suddenly want to know how Skaala is doing with the Doctor quest. Lol Thought I answered this, but don't see it.
Sir, the current bottom row is what you are requesting. We are at 5,000 attempts - not 10,000.
She's givin' yer all she's got, Cap'ain - she's a grunt, not a machine!  (You oddly remind me of Captain Picard.)
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Level Testing Spreadsheet
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Fletch_smf
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Jun 12 2013, 07:57 AM
Post #84
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- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 10:16 PM
- Fletch_smf
- Jun 11 2013, 09:14 PM
- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 07:25 PM
- Bufkey
- Jun 11 2013, 06:19 PM
Quoting limited to 4 levels deep | Rainbow/Double Rainbow |
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| Level 12 Dragons | Level 20 Dragons | Totals |
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1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 23 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 12 Rainbow 15 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 35 Rainbow 27 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 40 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | 3,000 total attempts 60 Rainbow 25 Double Rainbow | 2,000 total attempts 32 Rainbow 21 Double Rainbow | 5,000 total attempts 92 Rainbow 46 Double Rainbow |
Haha, Fletch will tell you math is not my long suit. I'm very happy to do lots of tapping, but you people have to figure out what it all means. Pixie (aka grunt) 
Could I trouble you to add another row of totals along the bottom, please, to add up the totals for each dragon level, and to give a full total in the bottom right. I think at the moment it's at 10 000 total tests, with ~ 1% to Doctors and ~ 2% to Rainbows. Rainbow used to be at 1%, although we were nowhere near 10k in tests. We were possibly short, else they've increased the odds for Rainbow and given the Doctor the top spot. I suddenly want to know how Skaala is doing with the Doctor quest. Lol
Thought I answered this, but don't see it. Sir, the current bottom row is what you are requesting. We are at 5,000 attempts - not 10,000. She's givin' yer all she's got, Cap'ain - she's a grunt, not a machine!  (You oddly remind me of Captain Picard.) As Hermione says just after Harry's taken off on his broom, despite her warning that he might be expelled ... "What. An. Idiot."
Thanks for that dear. My comments on the %'s remains.
I will refrain from pointing out that you're paraphrasing Scotty from the Original Series when Kirk was the captain ... Oh ... Apparently I won't.
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PixieWA
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Jun 12 2013, 09:17 AM
Post #85
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- Fletch_smf
- Jun 12 2013, 07:57 AM
- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 10:16 PM
- Fletch_smf
- Jun 11 2013, 09:14 PM
- PixieWA
- Jun 11 2013, 07:25 PM
Quoting limited to 4 levels deep | Rainbow/Double Rainbow |
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| Level 12 Dragons | Level 20 Dragons | Totals |
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1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 23 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 12 Rainbow 15 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - 1 Limited Love+Salamander 35 Rainbow 27 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 20 Rainbow 6 Double Rainbow | 2,000 attempts - Non-limited Seaweed+Firefly 40 Rainbow 12 Double Rainbow | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | | 1,000 attempts - 2 Limited Love+Bouquet 17 Rainbow 7 Double Rainbow | 3,000 total attempts 60 Rainbow 25 Double Rainbow | 2,000 total attempts 32 Rainbow 21 Double Rainbow | 5,000 total attempts 92 Rainbow 46 Double Rainbow |
Could I trouble you to add another row of totals along the bottom, please, to add up the totals for each dragon level, and to give a full total in the bottom right. I think at the moment it's at 10 000 total tests, with ~ 1% to Doctors and ~ 2% to Rainbows. Rainbow used to be at 1%, although we were nowhere near 10k in tests. We were possibly short, else they've increased the odds for Rainbow and given the Doctor the top spot. I suddenly want to know how Skaala is doing with the Doctor quest. Lol
Thought I answered this, but don't see it. Sir, the current bottom row is what you are requesting. We are at 5,000 attempts - not 10,000. She's givin' yer all she's got, Cap'ain - she's a grunt, not a machine!  (You oddly remind me of Captain Picard.)
As Hermione says just after Harry's taken off on his broom, despite her warning that he might be expelled ... "What. An. Idiot." Thanks for that dear. My comments on the %'s remains. I will refrain from pointing out that you're paraphrasing Scotty from the Original Series when Kirk was the captain ... Oh ... Apparently I won't. Barring repetitive stress injury, I anticipate getting to the 10,000 threshold and hopefully beyond. Am about 300 from 1,000 with the L20 Butterfly set. Chose Firefly+Willow to test with as they are dragons available to all players, aren't too terribly long with fails and you already had an L20 Firefly and L15 Willow available. If this set shows an increase over the expected % posted at the Sandbox, do you still want the lower level set run? Know it will be some time before you will be available to answer, so will start L20 Olympus next.
Did you miss the Bones reference in your refraining?
There have been a few requests for testing sets, I'll try to get to them when I can.
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Level Testing Spreadsheet
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PixieWA
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Jun 12 2013, 12:49 PM
Post #86
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Finished the L20 Butterfly target test.
1,000 attempts (Butterfly target) Firefly+Willow (Both L20) 169 Butterfly 36 Seasonal 16 Rainbow 9 Double Rainbow
Have created a spreadsheet for tracking. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AktNIkT9lzSpdGpKcmJTeXVUenhpS3BNR0haUVl3akE#gid=0
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Level Testing Spreadsheet
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patchy
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Jun 12 2013, 12:57 PM
Post #87
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Oops i tried to check out the spreadsheet and it said denied.lol
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patchy
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Jun 12 2013, 12:59 PM
Post #88
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Sorry I'm just being nosy.. this is so cool to watch since i cant help.
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PixieWA
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Jun 12 2013, 01:44 PM
Post #89
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Changed to public view, so it should be visible now. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AktNIkT9lzSpdGpKcmJTeXVUenhpS3BNR0haUVl3akE&usp=sharing
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Level Testing Spreadsheet
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patchy
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Jun 12 2013, 04:39 PM
Post #90
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- PixieWA
- Jun 12 2013, 01:44 PM
Cool
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