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Didi
Forum junkie
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The Norwegians were exactly who I am thinking about with regard to Scandinavians. The big 4 arguably are as follows, in the order of chance of winning in my view:

Kjell Askildsen
Dag Solstad
Jon Fosse
Karl Ove Knausgaard

Kjell Askildsen and Jon Fosse have been incrementally moving up the Ladbrokes ladder over the years. Kjell Askildsen’s best collection from what I gather came out in 2015.
I am not sure that the English translations properly represent Dag’s best works.
Anyway:

http://lithub.com/norways-greatest-writer-is-actually-dag-solstad/

They may go for someone outside these, and there are many good writers, Hanne Orstavik for instance, although you may argue she is too young as well.

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Nobel Prize 2017 · General discussion