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Someone at the other place had an interesting suggestion:
Quote:
 
The Nobel Library is the public library of the Swedish academy instituted to assist the evaluation of Nobel laureates to the Prize in Literature and other awards granted by the academy. Since its foundation in 1901, the primary task of the library is to acquire literary works and journals needed for the evaluation of the laureates, a task achieved by collecting works mainly in other languages than Swedish. As of 2007, the collection encompasses some 200,000 volumes and is thus one of the largest libraries devoted to literature in northern Europe.

one can check online how many books they have from each author:
http://lib.nobelbiblioteket.se/screens/opacmenu.html
e.g.
Tolstoy: 234
Tranströmer: 126
Goethe: 121
Handke: 95
Wells: 75
Lem: 71
Adonis, aka Ali Ahmad Said : 57
Ashbery: 51
Philip Roth: 46
Patrick White: 39
Golding: 34
Cormac McCarthy: 12
Murnane: 12
William Gibson: 5

Obviously it is not possible to derive any straightforward conclusions with respect to the Nobel chances from this, but it is interesting nevertheless.
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Nobel Prize 2012 · General discussion