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If Cartarescu wins in 2025, I'll be surprised... because I would've guessed he would get it earlier than that.

A few others I've already seen mentioned already as possibilities down the road (Ndiaye, Tokarczuk, Kausgaard (though I think Fosse will beat him to the punch and then the academy won't go back to Norway for a while)), the English authors seem like odd choices based on reputations and the little I've read of them but I suppose they could rally (Franzen would be an interesting pick just for all the salt it would create), and Houellebecq...that's not going to happen anytime soon, if ever. The others are enigmas to me.
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Nobel Prize 2015 · General discussion